@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus After 1991, no one thought "the commies are coming thru the Fulda Gap". Javelins came just after that date, and not in huge bulk, plus they've been improved since.

Few imagined years of artillery duels, cuz the thinking was it would turn into missiles before that much time elapsed.

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus The situation is not good at all. Even raw Russian conscripts can build defensive positions, and in depth. See, Kursk, battle of.

Aid is insufficient, and late. Little or no striking into Russia. I'm sorry, you cannot win this way with limited manpower to boot.

Best chance? Prolly to lure RA into an ill-advised advance & then win a huge battle of maneuver.

Meanwhile, UA bleeds.

@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12

I think the problem with the aid is the way we have slowly ratcheted up more advanced systems. Russia OTOH seems to have a severe manpower problem. Of course having had this discussion the Uk will probably launch a massive assault and retake crimea. Proving us both wrong again.

@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 And we agree about the aid. I said "insufficient, and late".

UA needs to kill about 8 Russians for every UA soldier lost. Three isn't going to make it, and it's likely they are not getting even that. We don't know, because sensibly, UA won't say.

@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance I’m not sure Russia has that kind of depth- in theory they could but it might cause a revolution or worse- they would still fail.

Their “fresh” recruits should be trained and ready to go, in fact they should have trained a lot of recruits but—- we’re not seeing that and they can’t even get them uniforms and food/rations. Wagner is even running out.

@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think Wagner is being deliberately bled ... by the Putin/FSB clique. They don't want any organized, armed, competition when this ends.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think it's really hard to have a revolution, too, when every TV station is "Fox News" on steroids. Dissent? Sure. There will always be that. But it's small, and disorganized, and likely to stay that way.

@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach

You get an economic depression big enough and revolution is the result. Just give it a few years. Tsarist Russia found out. They had tight grip on the media

@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach As long as they are selling oil ... "big enough" is likely to not be big enough.

I know what you are saying. But the US always thinks its opponents are domestically weak.

The Nazis persevered through day & night bombing. Japan had to be nuked—twice.

People rally 'round the flag. It has to be *really* *really* *really* bad, and even then it's probably not gonna be bad enough.

US hubris about this seems to never subside.

@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach And again, I'd love to be proven wrong about all or most of this.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus germany and Japan had some pride- russias had what, 2-4 revolutions/coups in the last 100 years ? Depending on how u score it. 1917, 1991, 93, 99 ??? They’re overdue! I guess germany had Valkyrie and Japan had the Kyūjō incident (the anti-coup)
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance told you Bragg is weak sauce. The goal is to get him on Russia and insurrection not grift girls. Bragg was out for a political job - dems should’ve reigned him in now magas decrying more grievance. https://twitter.com/cenkuygur/status/1639074070800261120?s=46&t=myUg8E_NfUxKRXrtk0UUnw
Tweet / Twitter

Twitter
Trump Warns Of "Potential Death And Destruction" If Manhattan DA Indicts

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

ZeroHedge
What’s in Your Pocket? Obsessed Hobbyists Judge What It Says About You

People in the competitive world of EDC, or ‘everyday carry,’ bond over the pens, trinkets and tools in their pockets

The Wall Street Journal

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus There's something in the water in Michigan? (I mean something *else*!) 😂

https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/i/110275239/michigan-republicans-rising

Who Is Marco Rubio Afraid Of?

Rubio thinks someone will "shred the country" if Trump is indicted. Who, exactly, is he talking about?

Bulwark+
Hélène Grimaud plays BEETHOVEN: Piano Concerto # 5 / Paavo Järvi -Frankfort Symphony

YouTube

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

will pivot in due time away from trans kids - libs need new charismatic blood

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

This douche is who we bailed out?

@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance

Who could've known...
They wanted the Jewish Trump, well they got 'em

@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus

Just when I was about to delete the app, they PULL me back in!!!!😂😂😂

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus More news about the ozone hole. 😂
Jon Stewart: This is why Trump became popular in the first place

YouTube

@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @plutus

Sent this one to Volly

@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance

DAN!! No more condoms damn it! We need numbers !!!!!

@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance

Yeah old people dying. Houses being inherited by young people who can now start families

@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12

Counting on you for six to eight kids brother 😂😂😂- Maybe it’s time we bring back “plural” marriage!! You could have three kids with each wife.

@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12

Dating scene in the Mormon community should be easier - time for conversion Danny

@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance

100% !! My life would be so much easier & richer if I had just been born Mormon 😢 I could have 3-4 wives by now and be truly happy- life is cruel.

تغريدة / Twitter

Twitter
@plutus @johnserwach @rubecube12 *Female shooter? Very unusual.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12 OMG- I was just talking about “I don’t like Mondays” about 14 hours ago… 🤦🏻‍♂️

@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12

Everywhere everyday - full lockdown is coming

My 6-Year-Old Son Died. Then the Anti-vaxxers Found Out.

Opponents of COVID vaccines terrorize grieving families on social media.

The Atlantic

@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12

John - I'm beside myself laughing when I look at this chart. Danny says boomers are excessive - how entitled do you have to be to pay $7 to $20 for McDonald's delivery LMFAO. This shit wouldn't have survived in prior decades.

@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance

When I was young (in the 80’s) a Big Mac meal was $2.99- I would make a steak dinner at home before I would pay that for McDonald’s!!! I legit cannot figure out how these places are staying in business

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

"Old fooks are forcing me to spend $20 on MCD delivery" - when Danny adopts MAGA logic... I am afraid for our society Johnny

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

Twitter = totalitarian-adjacent social media platform. Get a taste of being under the thumb of big brother.

@plutus @johnserwach @rubecube12 I will leave my account there, but I doubt if I will tweet there again. At least not while the idiot is in charge.
Unmusked: How Elon Musk is Using Twitter to Destroy the Concept of Objective Truth

Heidi Siegmund Cuda reveals how Elon Musk's takeover of Twitter fits a disturbing global trend

Byline Supplement
Lita Talisman on Instagram: "What’s your favorite state? 🇺🇸 Happy July 4th everyone. Although this country is far from perfect and we’ve got plenty to work on, I’m choosing to celebrate the natural beauty in this country today. I tried to do different stages than last time but here are my awards: ✨ Most magical- Wyoming. I have fallen in love with this state, the mountains, and the parks here. 🦅 Best wildlife- I have never seen more wildlife than I have in Alaska. This state is full of moose, bears, eagles, and so much more! 🍂 Vibranf Fall- New Hampshire is the best place in the country to go fall peeping. You’ll fall in love with the White Mountains ‼️Most Underrated- South Dakota. The Black Hills area and the Badlands are absolutely incredible. They will blow you away! 🏔️Majestic Mountains- Colorado. Mountains fill the state of Colorado. The Rocky Mountains are some of the most majestic, which provide ample opportunity for hiking, skiing and more! 💦 Roaring Waterfalls- Oregon. There’s so many amazing waterfalls in this state! You can go to the Columbia River Gorge, Umpqua National Forest or Silver Falls State Park. 🐟 Greatest Lake- Michigan. Lake Superior borders much of Michigans coastline. You’ll fall in love with the blue waters and the summer time there! Do you agree? • • • • #rankingstates #usatravel #usaroadtrip"

35K likes, 292 comments - Lita Talisman (@litaofthepack_) on Instagram: "What’s your favorite state? 🇺🇸 Happy July 4th everyone. Although this country is far fro..."

Instagram

@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance I’ve been there- in fact that could be my daughter diving at the end - pretty sure that’s just outside of Marquette #BlackRocks

https://www.awesomemitten.com/black-rocks-marquette/

7 Tips to Explore (And Cliff Jump) Black Rocks Marquette

If you're looking for adventurous summer things to do in the UP, consider cliff jumping off Black Rocks Marquette in Presque Isle Park, Michigan!

Awesome Mitten

@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach

Plut hates decentralized platforms that dont profit billionaire douches so I'm going to create a meta thread profile to appease him. At least zuck is tolerable

Fedified — Notable Twitter accounts on the Fediverse

Protecting public figures, journalists, creators, companies, and brands on the fediverse by verifying common ownership of Twitter Verified and Mastodon accounts

Mastodon 🤝 Twitter Verified ➡️ Fedified
Daniel Rubin (@drrubin) on Threads

2 Followers. Philadelphia born, Nashville bred, Atlanta educated

Threads

@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach thats why it treads.net by your profile. Mastadon will be the winner because of meta

Threads will use Mastadon protocol https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/05/adam-mosseri-says-metas-threads-app-wont-have-activitypub-support-at-launch/amp/

TechCrunch is part of the Yahoo family of brands

What to know about Threads

There’s been a lot of speculation around what Threads will be and what it means for Mastodon. We’ve put together some of the most common questions and our responses based on what was launched today.

Mastodon Blog
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @plutus How about on a PC?

@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance

Threads works on PC. Threads.net

@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach Well, that graphic animation works, anyway. 😂 But it seems, "You can't get there from here."
Mark Zuckerberg (@zuck) on Threads

3.9K likes, 564 replies. The vision for Threads is to create an open and friendly public space for conversation. We hope to take what Instagram does best and create a new experience around text,...

Threads
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @plutus Seems everything links only to Android or iOS however. I will probably put it on Android later to see what the experience is.
Mark Zuckerberg (@zuck) on Threads

77K likes, 14K replies. Threads just passed 2 million sign ups in the first two hours.

Threads
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @plutus RealForeignSubstance on Threads
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @plutus I haven't followed anyone yet, but I will get to it after I fix my right elbow in the backswing. 😜

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

I'm telling you every fintwit and financial pundit has been brainwashed into little Hayeks & Von Mises pikers. They have no understanding that geopolitics and macroeconomics are inextricably tethered. Austerity is the worse policy to sustain US hegemony.

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

As such what is the point of driving growth if you are just going try later on to kill it - you are literally burning money
We either live with higher growth and higher prices or we don't
Growth is the only way we (as the US) sustains our hegemony across the globe. We've had outsized debt for decades - that isn't the reason how other countries view our viability.

Impressing our soft power globally = maintains our pre-eminent status

@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

Biden is the most populist potus since LBJ meaning he’s done more shit for plebs than bill clinton Obama or even Jimmy Carter. Yet he gets none of plaudits and is less popular than Carter. I know you 2 won’t agree - yes part of issue is his reticence (for obvious reasons) , but his handlers are terrible at messaging. Stop the defending the Ron Klains etc

More Crazy Clips on Twitter

“Parents beat their son for spending their entire life savings on in-game content”

Twitter

@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus

Even New Jersey there. We're only waiting for John and Plutus. Why did you badger to get on this app and support the billionaires if you aint gonna use it.

https://www.threads.net/t/CuXPkKLLIYa/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

Threads • Log in

Join Threads to share ideas, ask questions, post random thoughts, find your people and more. Log in with your Instagram.

Threads

@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance

Ok - guess I’m on threads—
Yuki please put your photo up over there so I have a nice pic come up on my watch once in awhile.

https://www.threads.net/@jesrf

‎Odd Lots: Jared Bernstein on the Next Stage of Bidenomics on Apple Podcasts

‎Show Odd Lots, Ep Jared Bernstein on the Next Stage of Bidenomics - Jul 4, 2023

Apple Podcasts

@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus

Why are you using mastadon instead of threads. We're not on tbis app

@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance

need desktop version to paste things easier

@plutus @rubecube12 @johnserwach Yeah. Zuck is foolish if he thinks this is just going to take over with the phone only.
@plutus @rubecube12 @johnserwach There is no substitute for screen real estate. Phones don't have any. PCs do.
John (@jesrf) on Threads

I haven’t had wonder bread in many years - I have some sourdough. I got these to try to tempt Yuki to return @realforeignsubstance #weMissYou

Threads