A lot of takes that Prigozhin signed his own death warrant via this deal, which, ironically, is exactly the opposite of what he just did, which is to get his literal death warrant officially unsigned
Still super up-in-the-air how long he survives even post-deal, but yesterday the good money was "idk, but probably in hours not days" and post-deal it's longer than that.

@Pwnallthethings I don't think it matters if he survives - Russia's internal politics just got much, much more muddy. There's no way Putin can allow Prig to live, and Prig basically controls the MOD now if the negotiations are true.

Putins entire image, which was his only real card, just went up in smoke.

@Pwnallthethings Its not to mention - Putin spent two decades wiping out any sort of opposition to his power and anyone who might question him to secure his power.

That's all undone. He cannot hide this. And even if he kills Prig, he cannot prevent another. His weakness is out in the open.

@CommieGIR @Pwnallthethings
I think you're forgetting that they're all thieves and quite comfortable with the company of thieves around them.

@Springhead @Pwnallthethings Thieves love a chance to exploit weakness, and its hard to say 'comfortable' when their comfort has been steadily going down the tubes due to the faltering 'Special Operation'

A chance at owning everything in the face of a weak despot is far too tempting for this to be the only attempt.

@Pwnallthethings We're just saying that he probably shouldn't be installing any hot tubs in a 4th floor apartment in Moscow any time soon...
@Pwnallthethings did #Prigozhin lose it and was swept up in his own propaganda bubble? He runs a dirty but sometimes dedicated militia, but the Russian military is a cornerstone of the country, important in every corner of the country and for the top institutions that are left.

@Pwnallthethings His main trump-card appears to be his effectiveness on the battlefield.

As soon as Russia achieves enough objectives (whatever they are now!?) in Ukraine that the main Russian army couldn't, or he stops being effective in achieving those objectives, he''ll be heading out the window of a very tall building.

@StuartGray @Pwnallthethings He’ll either be the scapegoat for why Putin’s war failed, or the hero who “coulda-woulda-shoulda-won the war” if he’d had a little more time… and hadn’t fallen off a building.
@Pwnallthethings In February 2022 I was sure that Zelenskyy's life expectancy was weeks not months, and here we are.
@Pwnallthethings he may already be dead. Things are pretty murky still but there’s speculation they got to his daughter and that’s why he aborted the attempt. Apparently Surovikin and Alekseev were in on the coup, along with two Spetsnaz brigades. It was a believable attempt and I still don’t really understand why they scuttled it https://gulagu.net/news/2023-06-25-2602.html
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