#FunFactFriday: Experts say that the next decade is decisive for PV Solar - what do you think is the most important renewable energy source going forward? News Source: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2023/04/230418142516.htm
Next decade decisive for PV growth on the path to 2050: Experts warn waiting no longer an option for commitment to multi-terawatt photovoltaic production worldwide

Global experts on solar power strongly urge a commitment to the continued growth of photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing and deployment to power the planet, arguing that lowballing projections for PV growth while waiting for a consensus on other energy pathways or the emergence of technological last-minute miracles 'is no longer an option.'

ScienceDaily

@mattferrell
I am a layman in this debate, but I have thought for a long time now, that #nuclear is (and will continue to be) the most important renewable source of energy for a clean future. It is not truly renewable, but with the right fuel it is probably renewable enough.

The power density (W/m²) of nuclear is just so much higher than wind and solar. You can combine it with hydro/dam power to create 'batteries' of potential energy. It is always on, no dependence on sunshine or wind.

1/2

@Primetime @mattferrell please do the math on how much wind or solar could be built for one nuke plant. Or the math on how much storage could be built, given the way storage prices are falling.

And the math you're doing won't even properly be accounting for security for the facility or the transportation and storage of the fuel and waste.

Nukes are a boondoggle.

@qkslvrwolf @mattferrell
I'm not disputing that wind and solar are cheaper, not at all.
I was pointing out, that nuclear has a higher power density.

Solar has the higest power density of any renewable.
A good estimate for the mean power generation of solar is 5 W/m². A country like Germany expends a little over 1 W/m². To cover Germanys consumption with solar alone, you would need to cover 20% of the country in solar panels.

I'm saying there is not enough land for only the cheap options.

@Primetime @mattferrell that's not even a little true.

You could power my whole town by covering 1/3 of our parking lots with solar, and we're not even a sprawling town.

We could power everyone in the world easily with solar over buildings and pavement. And that's not even including the new building wind + solar options coming soon.

This is FUD

@qkslvrwolf
As I said, I am a layman. Therefore I am ready to rectify my own opinions if presented with good convincing arguments, based in hard facts (numbers). Anecdotal evidence is not convincing.

All figures I use for my back of the napkin calculations are from these publications:
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2011.0431
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364032117304720?via%3Dihub

I am not out to create fear, uncertainty or doubt. I am here to have a discussion based in facts.
You could further the discussion by providing some.

@Primetime And the royal society one is 10 years old, and when trying to figure out origins of some of MacKay's numbers, I found people noting that he was using numbers that were both outdated and worst case scenario, while also buying "clean coal" claims without much skepticism.

That old MacKay report doesn't even dream of modern wind, modern wind capacity factors, or the explosion of storage potential. So not sure it's worth much time.

@Primetime Oh, and renewable costs are literally DECADES AHEAD (lower) than what they were estimating circa when he wrote that. Lots of that cost is because capacity ramped much faster than he expected.

https://ieefa.org/resources/ieefa-iea-playing-catch-falling-renewables-costs-halving-solar-estimates

IEEFA: IEA playing ‘catch-up’ with falling renewables costs, halving solar estimates

IEA playing ‘catch-up’ with falling renewables costs, halving solar estimates

@qkslvrwolf
Price is of course really important for adoption of e.g. solar, and it is good to see it go down.
Hopefully their cost goes down further (I want panels on my house).

Price is a good topic for discussion as well, but what I was trying to understand is the land area required for 100% renewable - price is less of a factor here.

In the ieefa figure nuclear costs also predict to go down a fair bit though ;)
I'm just pulling your leg.