1/ Partial Operational situation update regarding #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on April 28, 2023 :
#Russian are globally not able to gain any real ground in all the areas they are trying to take control but with #Wagner troops, they are now doing their final push to seize what remains of #Bakhmut.
Situation is extremely difficult and at least one main road has been cut and another is not really "free" of danger. only one secondary axis remains under UKR control.
let's dive in
#UkraineMap
2/ So regarding #Bakhmut : #Wagner / RU SOF troops r currently gaining some grounds day after day & really hard battle are taking place directly on the last "quarter" of the city & there is not much "back & forth" now, Ru dynamics seems really strong there, confirming all indications as previously reported.
Ru regular forces also are still trying to take #Bohdanivka & or #Khromove but as we speak they are not able to make any progress there.
so the "flanks" are still somehow under control
3/ except for the south part of the city of #Bakhmut near down town were RU are making steady progress.
Ukr are not able to stop them and that's a fact.
Also we have direct evidence of RU being shelled (global destruction of the entire buildings) on the red "stars" & it's from yesterday.. meaning 2 things imo : the first is that UKR are already at least 80-100m behind these lines and alsoRu might have advanced even further since then...
so...be aware.
we can directly assess several things:
4/ Ru are trying no an encirclement of the UKR forces (purple direction) and or to force UKR forces to withdraw (since a couple weeks now they have become good at that. they are no more trying to push on the entire "front" but rather focus swiftly on 2 points, and do their best to advance and force UKR to move out or also be killed. (they are still losing more men but they are the one with the tempo in this area)
so the only "safe" axis of logistic/ com & supply (LOCS) is highlighted in green
6/ Also to be noticed that the terrain on the south part of the "soon to be pocket" is directly connecting to fields on N-O and no real buildings or strong defensive lines are available in this area, so Ru are now like mad dogs just trying to go down the hill (and they will also have the high grounds and direct view on the last available roads.. so it's a double difficult point to control there...
as i said it is becoming "fishy" and cautions needs to be taken.
7/ you can also "read" this topo map (you can "see" the hill slope" and this last sat map to try to understand it..
it's quite easy to get it..
ok that's it for now...
as said again and again and again, it's coming to an end... and UKR have performed 10 times better than any ukr supporters could have hoped & or dreamed of ! (i thought myself they would be gone early Spring)
8/ just going to paste here some of the last reports just to keep some tabs about it :
yesterday : https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@HeliosRunner/110269486506066061
Attached: 1 image 1/ Hello! quick note about #Bakhmut Ru are making progress in the city and have allegedly reached the "south node" i was referring to last time. seems "legit" & some areas are geoloc confirmed : "reached the intersection of Chaikovskoho-Yuvileina streets thus cutting one of the important supply routes of Ukrainian forces. Moreover, the frontline were moved to the entire Polevja street & Oleksandra Matrosova street." there is some areas 'yellow area' where Ru are blocked out...
Attached: 1 image 1/ Operational situation update regarding #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on April 23, 2023 : It's going to be very short today my friends. basically frontline is the same (some people have "fun" observing back and forth in a field in a middle of nowhere, but i have not time for this.. si situation has settle in all major place where Ru was trying to advance except for #Bakhmut. so in this area there is some attempts on few directions but nothing "serious" for now
10/ last gen staff report for ref :
(i will try to make a global assessment Sunday or May 1st but right now, nothing is really going on in terms of strong "moves" from RU. so no need to be dramatic and show ten sat maps for couple meters/blocks or tiny parts of roads changing hands here and there)
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