I think this #FutureLaw 2023 panel on GPT4 is good in terms of a balanced view of the risks and opportunities of using tools like GPT4. What surprises me is that no one is talking about how soon GPT4 will be obsolete, and replaced by something that improves over the previous iteration just as significantly. #LegalTech #LawFedi
OpenAI’s CEO confirms the company isn’t training GPT-5 and ‘won’t for some time’

OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman has confirmed that the company is not currently training GPT-5 — the successor to its language model GPT-4, released this March. Altman was discussing fears about AI safety.

The Verge
@ltmccarty that article just says you can't assume that new versions are better than earlier versions in any stable degree. Granted. But no one is assuming. It is objectively getting significantly better. That they haven't started "training" GPT5 yet doesn't mean anything. I don't see any evidence of a plateau, and I see lots of evidence to the contrary.

@lexpedite
@damienriehl

OK. What is the evidence to the contrary? Since OpenAI has told us zilch about GPT-4, any claims that we might want to make about future systems are pure speculation. I have been saying this for quite a while.

Here is a comment that captures the situation accurately, in my opinion:

https://hci.social/@jbigham/110194556830266492

Jeff Bigham (@[email protected])

a remarkable thing about LLMs is i can't find anyone, novice or expert, proponent or critic, who seems to have a particularly good intuition for how these things will develop going forward. i think part of the reason is that there are so many moving parts and none of those parts are either transparent or intuitive -- unintuitive statistics of large data, massive human annotation/tuning/iteration efforts, huge limitations in evaluation, etc. GPT-5? nothing burger or another leap, who knows

🌱 hci.social

@ltmccarty @damienriehl They are getting better. That's the evidence. It's just a trend, not a guarantee, but so what?

The idea that they have plateaued verges on the delusional. Human beings have never gotten anything that right that quickly.