John Serwach ✅@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
You said you “thought “ it had passed- thats not the same as “yes, it has passed”- nevertheless, glad you are well.
Daniel Rubin ✅@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 don’t wait for orders from Washington- mount your horses and ride to the sound of the guns!!
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
Counterstrike imminent https://newsie.social/@RupertCocke/110072478638244925
Rupert Cocke (@[email protected])
#Ukraine troops plan counterstrike https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/law-order/2390654-russias-war-on-ukraine-latest-ukrainian-troops-plan-counterstrike
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
@plutus Tell Luke Groman and Sean Russia is in a massive economic recession. Still waiting for the US job losses that he said would result
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I’m concerned Ukraine might not have sufficient ammunition to mount a sustained counter attack. Which is bizarre that we have gone thru so much ammo after preparing for 50 years for WWIII
ForeignSubstance ✅@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus After 1991, no one thought "the commies are coming thru the Fulda Gap". Javelins came just after that date, and not in huge bulk, plus they've been improved since.
Few imagined years of artillery duels, cuz the thinking was it would turn into missiles before that much time elapsed.
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus The situation is not good at all. Even raw Russian conscripts can build defensive positions, and in depth. See, Kursk, battle of.
Aid is insufficient, and late. Little or no striking into Russia. I'm sorry, you cannot win this way with limited manpower to boot.
Best chance? Prolly to lure RA into an ill-advised advance & then win a huge battle of maneuver.
Meanwhile, UA bleeds.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
I think the problem with the aid is the way we have slowly ratcheted up more advanced systems. Russia OTOH seems to have a severe manpower problem. Of course having had this discussion the Uk will probably launch a massive assault and retake crimea. Proving us both wrong again.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 And we agree about the aid. I said "insufficient, and late".
UA needs to kill about 8 Russians for every UA soldier lost. Three isn't going to make it, and it's likely they are not getting even that. We don't know, because sensibly, UA won't say.
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance I’m not sure Russia has that kind of depth- in theory they could but it might cause a revolution or worse- they would still fail.
Their “fresh” recruits should be trained and ready to go, in fact they should have trained a lot of recruits but—- we’re not seeing that and they can’t even get them uniforms and food/rations. Wagner is even running out.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think Wagner is being deliberately bled ... by the Putin/FSB clique. They don't want any organized, armed, competition when this ends.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think it's really hard to have a revolution, too, when every TV station is "Fox News" on steroids. Dissent? Sure. There will always be that. But it's small, and disorganized, and likely to stay that way.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
You get an economic depression big enough and revolution is the result. Just give it a few years. Tsarist Russia found out. They had tight grip on the media
@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach As long as they are selling oil ... "big enough" is likely to not be big enough.
I know what you are saying. But the US always thinks its opponents are domestically weak.
The Nazis persevered through day & night bombing. Japan had to be nuked—twice.
People rally 'round the flag. It has to be *really* *really* *really* bad, and even then it's probably not gonna be bad enough.
US hubris about this seems to never subside.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus germany and Japan had some pride- russias had what, 2-4 revolutions/coups in the last 100 years ? Depending on how u score it. 1917, 1991, 93, 99 ??? They’re overdue! I guess germany had Valkyrie and Japan had the Kyūjō incident (the anti-coup)
Plutus@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance told you Bragg is weak sauce. The goal is to get him on Russia and insurrection not grift girls. Bragg was out for a political job - dems should’ve reigned him in now magas decrying more grievance. https://twitter.com/cenkuygur/status/1639074070800261120?s=46&t=myUg8E_NfUxKRXrtk0UUnw
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Alright-
What’s in your pocket? Show me yours - I’ll show mine—-
https://www.wsj.com/articles/edc-everyday-carry-reddit-pocket-essentials-8f87d3bd
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus There's something in the water in Michigan? (I mean something *else*!) 😂
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/i/110275239/michigan-republicans-rising
Hélène Grimaud plays BEETHOVEN: Piano Concerto # 5 / Paavo Järvi -Frankfort Symphony
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
will pivot in due time away from trans kids - libs need new charismatic blood
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I agree with Noah
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Who could've known...
They wanted the Jewish Trump, well they got 'em
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Just when I was about to delete the app, they PULL me back in!!!!😂😂😂
Jon Stewart: This is why Trump became popular in the first place
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
DAN!! No more condoms damn it! We need numbers !!!!!
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Yeah old people dying. Houses being inherited by young people who can now start families
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Counting on you for six to eight kids brother 😂😂😂- Maybe it’s time we bring back “plural” marriage!! You could have three kids with each wife.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Dating scene in the Mormon community should be easier - time for conversion Danny
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
100% !! My life would be so much easier & richer if I had just been born Mormon 😢 I could have 3-4 wives by now and be truly happy- life is cruel.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12 OMG- I was just talking about “I don’t like Mondays” about 14 hours ago… 🤦🏻♂️