Daniel SwainMar 6, 2023
Are odds of warm #AtmosphericRiver storm in northern CA around 3/10-11 increasing? Yes. Are there related concerns because of near-record snowpack? Also yes. However, current operational model runs are *still near very upper end of their respective ensembles*.[1/5] #CAwx #CAwater
Show threadDaniel SwainMar 6, 2023
What does this mean? Right now, real world outcomes are still most likely to be less extreme than current control/operational runs are depicting. So a weak to moderate AR is more likely than a strong to very strong event. Strong consensus on timing around 2/10-2/11. [2/5] #CAwx
Show threadSusan A. Kitchens

@weatherwest 2/10 to 2/11 as in Feb 10th and 11th or do you mean March?

(I just read a series of toots that, I could swear I read like a month or more ago and so I have no idea what’s going on here. Typo or I’m reading toots from a while back?)

Mar 6, 2023 at 2:45amWeb