Kees van der Leun
Good timing: annual solar PV installations in the EU leaping ahead: 41 GW this year, up 47% from last year's record 28 GW!
And a way broader base than the spike driven by German and Italian support schemes in 2011.
Dec 19, 2022 at 8:33pmWeb
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
The 2022 market was led by Germany, Spain and Poland(!). The Netherlands at #4 with 4 GW added, ahead of France with its meager 2.7 GW, not even growing in a year of sky-high electricity prices. Italy at the same low level, but tripling its market compared to 2021.
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
In total, the EU now has 209 GW of solar PV installed. The top-6 all have more than 10 GW:
1. Germany 68.5 GW
2. Spain 26.4 GW
3. Italy 24.7 GW
4. The Netherlands 18.0 GW
5. France 16.1 GW
6. Poland 12.5 GW
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
Especially for the little ones,
@SolarPowerEU
included a ranking by solar PV capacity per capita, starring The Netherlands as the first and only country with over 1 kW installed per capita!
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
In two scenarios, SolarPower Europe sees cumulative EU solar PV capacity double or triple by 2026, to 400-600 GW.
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
The report has little information or even estimates on actual solar electricity produced in the EU. I'd say an average of 1,200 kWh/year per kW is reasonable.
That would mean:
Current solar production: 250 TWh/year ≈ 9% of EU electricity
Expected by 2025: 480-720 TWh ≈ 15-23%
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
While the 2022 EU solar PV capacity additions were split 60/40 for rooftop vs utility-scale (ground-based), SolarPower Europe expects this to move towards 50/50 by 2026.
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
SolarPower Europe expects that the EU's recent #REPowerEU target of 750 GW installed by 2030 can be easily met, even in its medium scenario.
But the member states' National Energy and Climate Plans are still way behind, aiming for 335 GW by 2030, now expected to happen in 2024...
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
You can find the whole (90 page) report, with much more country details, here: https://www.solarpowereurope.org/insights/market-outlooks/eu-market-outlook-for-solar-power-2022-2026-2
EU Market Outlook for Solar Power 2022-2026 - SolarPower Europe

SolarPower Europe

Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
Ah yes, the hashtags ;)
#solar #solarPV #EU #REPowerEU #renewable #renewables #renewableenergy #Fitfor55 #climateaction
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 20, 2022
Afterthought: Just reaching the current Dutch average of 1044 W per capita would already get the EU to the middle of @SolarPowerEU's forecast range for 2026: 465 GW.
Show threadPaul KennyDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 @solar_chase 82 watts per capita for 2030. :-(. Next NECP that will be ~1.4KW per capita by 2030. Should be > the box by 2025.
Show threadVoronDec 20, 2022
@Sustainable2050 what is the current potential/state of technology for grid level energy storage? Since that is the limited factor for solar
Show threaddominik lennéDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 where t f is italy? spain 7., greece 8. portugal 10.wtf?
Show threadGeorg KuryDec 20, 2022
@Sustainable2050 Austria might add 1.2 to 1.5 GW in 2022, which means 3.98 to 4.28 GW total installed capacity. Watt per Capital will be between 440 and 470.
Show threadRosmaninhoDec 20, 2022
@Sustainable2050 This is so cool. And Portugal on tenth place!!
Show threadgn16Dec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 what is Australia?
Show threadAurel WünschDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 Portugal with an impressive per-capita Value - equivalent to ~20GW scaled up to germany (and with higher capacity factor). They just had around 1GW before, which always surprised me but good that it is changing. Thats around 10% of electricity consumption of Portugal added in 1 Year as PV Generation.
Show threadAndreasJahnDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 are there structural issues, as permissioning in France? A cap on FiT or other answers?
Show threadLeon OverweelDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 wow! Btw, do you know what caused the slump in the mid-2010s?
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
@leonoverweel A crash after ridiculously generous support schemes in some countries were suddenly ended.
Show threadLeon OverweelDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 ah I see, thanks. Do you think that risk is also there now?
Show threadKees van der LeunDec 19, 2022
@leonoverweel No. Overall solar PV costs are very attractive now. But e.g. the Netherlands has over-subsidization, at least in its net metering scheme.
Show threadLeon OverweelDec 19, 2022
@Sustainable2050 haha yeah in any sane world our dark cloudy country wouldn’t have the highest installed capacity of Europe indeed. But it’s not the worst thing to oversubsidize I guess!
Show threadKevin Karhan Dec 20, 2022

@Sustainable2050 The #EU really needs to go #FullRenewable AFAP!

Simply because #SupplyCain-dependencies aside, #nuclear isn't an option for the same reasons #France had to shutdown most of them during the summer...

Only #decentralization & #federation of #electricity and other #energy production can solve uncertainties.

And the #EU is the best position to do so!

Show threadFlorian AhrensDec 20, 2022
@Sustainable2050 let’s not forget about the embedded 1.5 tonnes of CO2 per kW of solar capacity that comes with the majority of PV panels. This needs a careful consideration of exponential growth curves of solar PV and also where it is being installed. It will be interesting how things change when the carbon border mechanism is in place for imports of renewable energy technology from Asia https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2016.12.038
Show threadBruno LeuschnerDec 20, 2022
@Sustainable2050 Spain outstanding!