MsMerope
Hippy SteveThe 1hr rainfall rates look a little concerning around the #SouthFire burn scar.
#SouthFire #saccounty forward progress stopped on the Scott Fire approximately 5 acres mop up for an hour
just autoupdated and even worse.
debris flows for the #SouthFire look very likely if this continues.
from the NWS mesoscale forecast discussion https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1209&yr=2023
As the storms reach the western Transverse Ranges this afternoon
and evening, their northward movement will be orthogonal to the east-west orientation of the Ranges. This will locally enhance
upslope lift, resulting in heavier rain along the south-facing
slopes of the mountains. Up to 1.25 inch per hour rainfall rates
will be possible with the stronger storms and upslope flow, with
the most persistent heavy rainfall rates in those favored upslope
areas.
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hmmm. South Facing slopes, like the #SouthFire. 1.25"/hr rainfall rates - well above debris flow trigger rates in a recent burn scar.
AI6YR BenOooh, burn scar flooding risk in Ventura County due to the #SouthFire (h/t @mappingsupport )
CALFIRE says the South Fire (Ventura County) is 100% contained. https://www.fire.ca.gov/incidents/2023/12/9/south-fire #SouthFire #VenturaCounty #Saticoy #FireWx #Wildfires
#SouthFire has now reached 70% containment (also has been forward progress stopped since yesterday). #Saticoy #Camarillo #SantaPaula #FireWx #VenturaCounty https://app.watchduty.org/i/15314
IntelEarthGood morning. The fire has been updated to 2700 acres and is 50% contained per the last update. The evacuation warning for the saticoy country club area has been lifted. This is my final update unless something major occurs.
#SouthFire
#SouthFire
EVACUATION ORDERS AND WARNINGS LIFTED
As of 6:00 p.m., the Evacuation Warning has been LIFTED for the following area:
Saticoy Country Club Area
North : Santa Clara River
South and West: W. Los Angeles Ave.
East: La Vista Ave