Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi predicts Federal Reserve will raise interest rates even under incoming chair Kevin Warsh, citing concerns over uncontrolled inflation expectations driven by Iran war and elevated commodity prices, despite President Trump's preference for rate cuts.
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Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US labor market is weakening despite strong April payrolls, citing declining labor force participation rate that masks true unemployment levels which could be 5.3% instead of reported 4.3%
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=120057
Mark Zandi - 'US Labor Market Is Weakening'

Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US labor market is weakening despite strong April payrolls, citing declining labor force participation rate that masks true unemployment levels which could be 5.3% instead of reported 4.3%

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Home - CBSNews.com | The Iran war's economic hit could linger through 2026, economists say

AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.

In the eight weeks since the Iran war began, the conflict has pushed U.S. gasoline prices above $4 a gallon, driven Brent crude up 44% to $105 a barrel, and lifted inflation to its highest level in nearly two years, prompting economists to warn of lingering economic damage. Disruption of oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz has raised energy costs, which are expected to stay above pre‑war levels throughout 2026, dampening consumer purchasing power, inflating grocery and travel expenses, and potentially trimming U.S. GDP growth by about 0.3 percentage points this year. While higher‑income households have kept spending resilient, broader economic headwinds—rising energy prices, AI‑related job cuts, and ongoing tariff uncertainty—are likely to keep inflation elevated and strain the broader economy for months to come.

Read more: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-war-economic-impact-gas-prices-inflation-2026/

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AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.

In 8 weeks, the Iran war has dented the U.S. economy. The damage could linger, economists say.

Economists say Americans should expect elevated prices at the pump and rising grocery costs in the months to come.

Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns U.S. recession probability stands at 40% but says downturn can be avoided if government reverses harmful policies including tariffs and maintains stable Fed rates while economic foundation remains fragile
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=116780
Mark Zandi - 'Recession Risk Has Risen, But There's Still a Way to Avoid It'

Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns U.S. recession probability stands at 40% but says downturn can be avoided if government reverses harmful policies including tariffs and maintains stable Fed rates while economic foundation remains fragile

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Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US recession risk is mounting as consumer spending growth slows to 1% annually despite low savings rates, with economic headwinds from Iran war just beginning to impact the already vulnerable economy.
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=115164
Mark Zandi - 'US Recession Risk Growing'

Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US recession risk is mounting as consumer spending growth slows to 1% annually despite low savings rates, with economic headwinds from Iran war just beginning to impact the already vulnerable economy.

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Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics warns US recession probability exceeds 50% as Middle East conflict drives oil price surge, noting historical correlation between oil shocks and economic downturns since World War II
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=110625
Mark Zandi - 'Middle East Conflict Pushes US Recession Odds Above 50%'

Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics warns US recession probability exceeds 50% as Middle East conflict drives oil price surge, noting historical correlation between oil shocks and economic downturns since World War II

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Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns of a potential broad sell-off in equities, corporate bonds, and Treasuries, citing rising market instability and the growing influence of hedge funds in U.S. government debt markets.
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=106272
Mark Zandi Warns of Potential Sell-Off in Financial Markets—Treasuries Also Vulnerable

Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns of a potential broad sell-off in equities, corporate bonds, and Treasuries, citing rising market instability and the growing influence of hedge funds in U.S. government debt markets.

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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns that despite January's strong US jobs report, the labor market remains fragile, with risks heightened by sector concentration and potential AI impacts.
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=105131
Mark Zandi Says 'January's US Jobs Surprise Should Not Bring Relief'

Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns that despite January's strong US jobs report, the labor market remains fragile, with risks heightened by sector concentration and potential AI impacts.

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Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns that President Trump’s plans to lower mortgage rates and cap credit card interest could backfire, driving up home prices and limiting credit access for lower-income Americans.
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=99753
Mark Zandi Says Trump’s Housing and Credit Card Rate Policies Could Backfire

Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi warns that President Trump’s plans to lower mortgage rates and cap credit card interest could backfire, driving up home prices and limiting credit access for lower-income Americans.

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Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi attributed the weak US December jobs data to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, citing direct and indirect impacts on employment, with the Supreme Court set to rule on their legality.
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https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=99331
Mark Zandi Says Weak US December Jobs Data Attributable to Tariffs

Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi attributed the weak US December jobs data to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, citing direct and indirect impacts on employment, with the Supreme Court set to rule on their legality.

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