Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns U.S. recession probability stands at 40% but says downturn can be avoided if government reverses harmful policies including tariffs and maintains stable Fed rates while economic foundation remains fragile
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Mark Zandi - 'Recession Risk Has Risen, But There's Still a Way to Avoid It'
Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns U.S. recession probability stands at 40% but says downturn can be avoided if government reverses harmful policies including tariffs and maintains stable Fed rates while economic foundation remains fragile
Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US recession risk is mounting as consumer spending growth slows to 1% annually despite low savings rates, with economic headwinds from Iran war just beginning to impact the already vulnerable economy.
#YonhapInfomax #MarkZandi #RecessionRisk #ConsumerSpending #MoodysAnalytics #IranWar #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=115164
Mark Zandi - 'US Recession Risk Growing'
Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi warns US recession risk is mounting as consumer spending growth slows to 1% annually despite low savings rates, with economic headwinds from Iran war just beginning to impact the already vulnerable economy.
Claudia Sahm, creator of the 'Sahm Rule', warns that a gradual replacement of workers by AI could pose a greater economic risk, as slow-moving job losses may delay policy responses and deepen labor market challenges.
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Infomax Panic-Boom - 'US Truck Sales Slowdown Deepens, Signaling Broad Real Economy Adjustment'
US truck sales are declining at an accelerating pace, with the Infomax Panic-Boom Index signaling rising recession risks and experts warning of broad-based real economy adjustments.
The Infomax Panic-Boom Index signals a continued slowdown in the US real economy, with recession risks rising but not yet definitive, as key indicators trend downward and analysts warn of increased vulnerability to further shocks.
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Infomax Panic-Boom - US Real Economy Slows—Too Early to Call a Recession
The Infomax Panic-Boom Index signals a continued slowdown in the US real economy, with recession risks rising but not yet definitive, as key indicators trend downward and analysts warn of increased vulnerability to further shocks.
Infomax Panic-Boom – Widening Gap Between Financial Markets and Real Economy Raises Volatility Risks
South Korea’s Infomax Panic-Boom Index signals rising recession risk as the gap between financial markets and the real economy widens, with experts warning of increased market volatility.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant ruled out the possibility of a US recession in 2025, expressing strong optimism for non-inflationary growth and highlighting upcoming healthcare cost measures.
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US Treasury Secretary Dismisses Recession Risks for Next Year—'None...Extremely Optimistic'
US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant ruled out the possibility of a US recession in 2025, expressing strong optimism for non-inflationary growth and highlighting upcoming healthcare cost measures.
Six Key Indicators in September US Nonfarm Payrolls to Gauge Recession Risk
September US nonfarm payrolls will be scrutinized for six key recession signals, including sectoral job losses, AI impact, and jobless claims thresholds.
Infomax Panic-Boom Warns of Recession in Q1 Next Year—Signals Market at a Turning Point
Global economic indicators signal a late-cycle shift, with the Infomax Panic-Boom Index pointing to a heightened risk of recession in Q1 2026 as market anxiety rises and credit risks persist.
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said tariffs will have a gradual, not immediate, impact on inflation and could contribute to mild recession risks, but are unlikely to trigger a downturn alone.
#YonhapInfomax #JPMorganChase #JamieDimon #Tariffs #Inflation #RecessionRisk #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=82993
JP Morgan CEO Says Tariffs to Have Gradual Impact on Inflation—Mild Recession Possible
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said tariffs will have a gradual, not immediate, impact on inflation and could contribute to mild recession risks, but are unlikely to trigger a downturn alone.
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