The #book #Loonshots reshaped the way I think about the innovative organizations I've been a part of - Bush-Vail rules, P vs. S-type bets, and how important structure is. If you’re juggling artists and soldiers, you might relate.

https://blog.notmet.net/2026/03/loonshots-shadow-warriors-and-why-structure-beats-vibes/

Loonshots, Shadow Warriors, and Why Structure Beats Vibes

I just finished listening to Safi Bahcall’s Loonshots (thank you Libby) because friends kept telling me it was fantastic, and was fundamental to how they think about the innovation we’re all striving towards. They weren’t kidding. The book gave me language for dynamics I’d been managing by intuition, especially during my time with the Shadow Warriors, and showed me how they might maintain success indefinitely. Bush–Vail Rules and the Artist/Soldier Divide The Bush–Vail rules hit hard (https://www.infermuse.com/how-to-nurture-loonshots/). They basically say: safeguard your artists (loonshot teams), empower your soldiers (scale teams), and don’t mash them into one bureaucracy. That maps almost perfectly onto how I saw the Shadow Warriors vs. the acquisition command I was embedded in. The Shadow Warriors are artists building weird prototypes, and the acquisition folks are concentrated on keeping the lights on by getting the basics out into the field. I’d sensed mixing those two groups too tightly was dangerous, but Bahcall gave me the structural argument I’d been missing. On the acquisition side I regularly campaigned for less oversight, but the book reminded me there’s a point where “less bureaucracy” can undercut quality (although we can cut a ton of bureaucracy before we reach that point, currently).

Karl's Blog
@carnage4life "Status and perks" over "stakes and outcomes" #Loonshots
@jasongorman Makes me think of the #Loonshots idea of larger organizations tending to shift from mostly caring about “stakes and outcomes” to mostly caring about “status and perks”
@firepoet It reminded me of what #SafiBahcall warns about in #Loonshots: large organizations become more concerned about status and perks (from promotions) than stakes and outcomes.
@DavidPetraitis @RakowskiBartosz Makes me think of a combination of #ThePeterPrinciple (people get promoted to their level of incompetence) and #Loonshots (org transition from focusing on stakes and outcomes to focusing on status and perks)