Kurze Erinnerung:
Exponentielles Wachstum:
Die Veränderung beschleunigt sich ständig – die Kurve wird immer steiler.
Logistisches Wachstum:
Zuerst Beschleunigung (fast exponentiell), dann Abflachung durch Grenzen → S-Kurve.
Viele Technologien wirken anfangs exponentiell, folgen langfristig aber tatsächlich einer logistischen Diffusionskurve.
#Innovation #ExponentialGrowth #LogisticGrowth #TechnologyDiffusion #AI #ArtificialIntelligence
@darren @tayfonay @thesiswhisperer
that's interesting stuff. The "founding generation" in social media may enjoy growth that's unattainable after for those who come later. The one missing success factor is "social space" occupied by others. Simple, but difficult to see.
Q: is anyone aware of #research into analogies between "#LogisticGrowth in #SocialMedia" to the "growth of dimensionality in #ecosystems"?
The paper below is a good example for what I mean.
The ecological niche of host-associated microbes is defined by both abiotic and biotic dimensions. Here the authors analyse published data on fungal and oomycete pathogens of plants, demonstrating that specialization can evolve independently on abiotic and biotic axes and that interactions with host plants reduce thermal niche breadth.
Harald Klinke
Thomas