US prediction market participants on Kalshi and Polymarket are betting inflation could reach 5% this year following elevated April CPI data, with odds significantly exceeding Wall Street forecasts as Middle East tensions threaten prolonged supply chain disruptions and sustained price pressures.
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US Prediction Markets See Inflation Potentially Hitting 5% This Year
US prediction market participants on Kalshi and Polymarket are betting inflation could reach 5% this year following elevated April CPI data, with odds significantly exceeding Wall Street forecasts as Middle East tensions threaten prolonged supply chain disruptions and sustained price pressures.
Germany's Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy slashes 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1.0%, citing Middle East war's impact on energy prices and economic recovery, with inflation expected to reach 2.7% this year as geopolitical shocks continue to weigh on Europe's largest economy.
#YonhapInfomax #GermanyGDP #MiddleEastWar #EnergyPrices #EconomicGrowth #InflationForecast #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=116934
Germany Slashes 2026 GDP Forecast in Half on Middle East War Fallout
Germany's Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy slashes 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1.0%, citing Middle East war's impact on energy prices and economic recovery, with inflation expected to reach 2.7% this year as geopolitical shocks continue to weigh on Europe's largest economy.
Bank of Korea warns inflation will rise to mid-to-high 2% range while growth falls below 2% this year, citing Middle East war's impact on oil prices and economic sentiment, as central bank maintains base rate at 2.50% amid heightened uncertainty
#YonhapInfomax #BankOfKorea #InflationForecast #BaseRate #MiddleEastWar #GrowthProjection #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=114794BNP Paribas forecasts Bank of Korea will maintain 2.50% benchmark rate at April 10 meeting, citing Middle East volatility and economic uncertainty that make preemptive rate hikes unlikely despite upward inflation forecast revisions to 2.4% for 2026 and 2.2% for 2027 amid rising energy prices and won weakness
#YonhapInfomax #BankOfKorea #InterestRate #BNPParibas #InflationForecast #MiddleEastCrisis #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=113683
BNP Paribas - Bank of Korea to Hold Rates in April Amid Middle East Turmoil
BNP Paribas forecasts Bank of Korea will maintain 2.50% benchmark rate at April 10 meeting, citing Middle East volatility and economic uncertainty that make preemptive rate hikes unlikely despite upward inflation forecast revisions to 2.4% for 2026 and 2.2% for 2027 amid rising energy prices and won weakness
ECB President Christine Lagarde warns war-driven energy price surge will push inflation above 2% in near term, while expressing deep concerns over private credit market's opacity, leverage risks, and liquidity mismatches as redemption restrictions emerge across funds.
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Lagarde - War-Driven Energy Surge to Push Inflation Above 2% in Near Term
ECB President Christine Lagarde warns war-driven energy price surge will push inflation above 2% in near term, while expressing deep concerns over private credit market's opacity, leverage risks, and liquidity mismatches as redemption restrictions emerge across funds.
BOK Board Member - 'Growth, Inflation Forecasts to Be Revised Upward This Year...Monitor Financial, FX Volatility'
Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board member signals upward revision to growth and inflation forecasts for the year while emphasizing need for vigilance on financial and foreign exchange market volatility
Citi warns South Korea faces steepest economic impact among major economies if oil prices surge to $82/barrel, projecting 0.45%p growth cut and 0.6%p inflation rise, though semiconductor export boom reaching 102% growth could offset downward pressure amid Middle East tensions
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Citi - Oil at $82 Could Cut Korean Growth 0.45%p, Lift Inflation 0.6%p
Citi warns South Korea faces steepest economic impact among major economies if oil prices surge to $82/barrel, projecting 0.45%p growth cut and 0.6%p inflation rise, though semiconductor export boom reaching 102% growth could offset downward pressure amid Middle East tensions
Wall Street Expects 50bp Rate Cuts This Year—Kevin Warsh Seen as Leading Fed Chair Candidate
Wall Street expects the Fed to cut rates by 50bp in 2026, with Kevin Warsh seen as the leading candidate for Fed Chair, as robust US growth limits further easing.
The dollar-yen exchange rate rose on strong US economic data but retreated after the Bank of Japan held rates steady and raised its inflation and growth outlooks, capping further gains.
#YonhapInfomax #DollarYen #BankOfJapan #ExchangeRate #GDP #InflationForecast #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=101777
[Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market]Dollar-Yen Rises—Upside Capped After BOJ Decision
The dollar-yen exchange rate rose on strong US economic data but retreated after the Bank of Japan held rates steady and raised its inflation and growth outlooks, capping further gains.
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