Peak Trading Research

@peaktrading
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Quantitative commodity research.

🌾 $27.5 billion long. 3-year highs. 8 weeks straight buying.

Hedge funds have been on a historic buying run in #agriculture markets - Iran War and Crude Oil are doing the heavy lifting. πŸ›’οΈπŸŒΎ

The question now isn't if they're long ... it's how long they stay. πŸ“ˆ

Hedge funds have bought ag futures for EIGHT straight COT weeks - now +$27.5B, the longest since early 2023. πŸ“ˆ

Crude >$100, dry Plains, bullish seasonals = fuel for the bulls. πŸ‚

But positioning is crowded to the long side. πŸ“Š

Are we running out of buyers? 🌾

Hedge funds went big on Cattle (+$1.3B) and Softs (+$1.9B) last week while rotating out of Energy bets (-$4.7B). Eight straight weeks of ag buying. Crowded longs at 3-year highs. What breaks the streak? πŸ„ πŸ›’οΈ

Return of the King πŸ‘‘πŸ›’οΈ

Brent Crude Oil is back at No. 1 - the world’s most traded commodity futures market in Q1 2026. $184B traded per day.

Volatility is driving flows. Funds are active. Producers are hedging.

Crude is in the driver’s seat for the #commodity complex.

Crude Oil +43.8% in March, pulling ags along for the ride. BCOM returned +11.1% - best month in 16 years. Higher energy costs feed into fertilizers, transport, and production. Real assets are being repriced. πŸ›’οΈπŸŒΎπŸ”₯

Winners: Heating Oil (+62.5%), WTI (+51.6%), Palm Oil (+19.3%), Cocoa (+14.3%), Sugar (+11.7%). πŸ”₯

#Commodities #Agriculture #Inflation

Best #Commodity month in 16 years, +11.1% in March. πŸ›’οΈπŸŒΎCrude, ags, metals all ripping higher. This is a true money flow event. πŸ“ˆ
🌾 Ags this week: 🌍 Middle East escalation β†’ higher Crude, weaker risk assets, continued inflows into ags (record Sugar buying last week). πŸ“ˆ Key events: USDA acreage Tuesday, NFP jobs Friday. πŸ“Š The U.S. Plains need rain. 🌧️ Seasonals turn bullish into April. #CrudeOil #Grains #USDA
RECORD hedge fund buying in Sugar last week. Following record Cotton inflows the week before. Crude Oil is pulling capital into the most beaten-up corners of the agriculture complex. Market structure matters. 🍬 🌾 πŸ›’οΈ #Sugar #COT #AgMarkets
Hedge funds are the LONGEST across the ag complex in 3 years at $22.8 billion. Record Cotton inflows two weeks ago. Record Sugar inflows last week. Crude Oil is driving capital into #ags and the flow data proves it. πŸŒΎπŸ›’οΈ #AgMarkets #COT #CrudeOil
The money flow event continues. πŸ“ˆ Funds have bought #agriculture futures for EIGHT consecutive weeks. Record inflows in Cotton two weeks ago. Record inflows in Sugar last week. The Crude Oil money flow is real. πŸŒΎπŸ›’οΈ #AgMarkets #COT #CrudeOil