UK wage growth slows and unemployment rate rises as companies react to Iran war – business live
By Julia Kollewe

Jobless rate unexpectedly rises to 5% and employment falls by 100,000, biggest drop in six years; economists say June interest rate hike looks less likely

https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2026/may/19/uk-wage-growth-unemployment-rate-markets-business-live-news

#Business #Economics #Unemploymentandemploymentstatistics #Currencies #Commodities #Stockmarkets #JuliaKollewe

UK wage growth slows and unemployment rate rises as companies react to Iran war – business live

Jobless rate unexpectedly rises to 5% with businesses squeezed by war in Middle East; economists say this makes June interest rate hike less likely

the Guardian

UK wage growth slows and unemployment rate rises as companies react to Iran war – business live
By Julia Kollewe

Jobless rate unexpectedly rises to 5% with businesses squeezed by war in Middle East; economists say this makes June interest rate hike less likely

https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2026/may/19/uk-wage-growth-unemployment-rate-markets-business-live-news

#Business #Economics #Unemploymentandemploymentstatistics #Currencies #Commodities #Stockmarkets #JuliaKollewe

UK wage growth slows and unemployment rate rises as companies react to Iran war – business live

Jobless rate unexpectedly rises to 5% with businesses squeezed by war in Middle East; economists say this makes June interest rate hike less likely

the Guardian

Weekly Watch: Intermarket Rotation

This week’s market structure remained highly fragmented:

• Energy and commodities surged
• Bonds weakened further
• Cyclicals deteriorated
• Metals stayed weak
• Dollar strength returned

Headline indices masked a much more selective internal backdrop.

#IntermarketAnalysis #Macro #Markets #Commodities #Equities

L’alluminio non è più un mercato globale. La fine del prezzo unico
https://www.metallirari.com/alluminio-non-piu-mercato-globale-fine-prezzo-unico/
Analisi del mercato dell’alluminio tra crisi del Golfo, sanzioni, energia e tre possibili scenari che ridisegnano supply chain e prezzi globali.
#alluminio #metalli #geopolitica #energia #mercati #industria #supplychain #commodities #CBAM #economiaglobalizzata

Investidores globais voltam a focar em metais preciosos. Confira os destaques:

• Alta na procura por ouro e prata 🪙
• Estratégias de proteção de capital em foco
• Tendências para o cenário macroeconômico global

#MercadoFinanceiro #Commodities #InvestimentosInternacionais

Ivory Coast’s cocoa pile-up proves markets still have a sense of humor

Fresh cocoa beans laid out to dry in Ivory Coast, illustrating the strain on farmers as unsold stock accumulates amid market disruption.

Dear Cherubs, Ivory Coast’s cocoa business is having one of those “the spreadsheet looked fine until real life happened” moments. The world’s top cocoa producer is dealing with growing piles of unsold beans because the guaranteed farmgate price set by the government ended up higher than what traders and exporters could comfortably stomach. According to Reuters, that has slowed purchases, jammed up financing, and left many growers waiting for money that was supposed to be arriving, politely, by now.

THE PRICE TAG PROBLEM

Here is the basic drama: Ivory Coast uses a state-set cocoa price to shield farmers from wild market swings. Noble idea. Extremely tidy on paper. Less charming when global cocoa prices fall and the local price stays high enough to make buyers wince. Reuters reported that the 2025/26 farmgate price was raised to 2,800 CFA francs per kilogram on October 1, while global cocoa prices later slid hard as oversupply returned after the 2024 spike.

That gap matters. Traders have less incentive to pre-finance purchases, banks see more risk, and exporters end up treating the whole situation like a very expensive cautionary tale. Reuters said about 50,000 tons had been stockpiled in anticipation of the price rise, but much of it was then rejected by grinders because the beans were small, low-fat, and too acidic. So yes, the beans were there. The appetite was not.

WHEN THE BEANS DON’T MOVE

The pain does not stop at the warehouse door. Reuters reported that some farmers and cooperatives have gone unpaid for cocoa harvested over several months, and protests have already broken out in cocoa-growing areas. In May, Reuters also reported that the Coffee and Cocoa Council planned to send officials to calm farmers who said large stocks of cocoa were rotting while they waited for payment. Nothing says “healthy supply chain” like road blockades and tear gas.

The government has tried to soften the blow by buying residual stocks. Reuters reported in March that Ivory Coast pledged to keep purchasing up to 100,000 metric tons of excess cocoa at the guaranteed price, after tensions rose over the unsold crop. But with global prices still weak and domestic buying still sluggish, the bigger question is whether the system itself needs a reboot, not just another patch.

As noted by thisclaimer.com, this is what happens when a commodity market meets a fixed-price promise and neither side is in the mood to be reasonable. The result is a pile-up of beans, a pile-up of complaints, and a very unfun reminder that chocolate starts with economics before it ever reaches the fun part.

Sources:
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/high-prices-bad-quality-slow-down-ivory-coast-cocoa-purchases-sources-say-2025-10-17/
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ivory-coast-will-send-officials-calm-protests-by-cocoa-farmers-source-says-2026-05-12/
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ivory-coast-unsold-cocoa-stocks-set-to-soar-if-price-standoff-persists-2026-02-24/
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/ivory-coast-cocoa-farmers-fear-smaller-mid-crop-from-patchy-rains-2026-05-11/
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ivory-coast-reassures-farmers-over-purchase-excess-cocoa-stock-amid-strike-2026-03-03/
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ivory-coast-considers-reforming-cocoa-marketing-system-tackle-excess-supply-sources-say-2026-03-12/
thisclaimer.com — https://thisclaimer.com
Wikimedia Commons image — https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cacao_fruit_in_C%C3%B4te_d%27Ivoire_(7).JPG

The Thisclaimer logo blends a classic warning symbol with a brain icon to represent critical thinking, curiosity, and thoughtful disclaimers. #afrika #agriculture #art #chocolate #cocoa #commodities #exports #farmers #food #ivoryCoast #supplyChain #sustainability #westAfrica
XAUUSD Extends Downtrend on 4-Hour Chart as Momentum Weakens Below 4,600

Gold Price Structure Remains Under Pressure XAUUSD continued to trade lower on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action showing sustained w...

Blogger

Commodity supercycle intensifies:
• Bloomberg Index hits 13-yr high on AI/energy demand
• 30-yr yields >5.1% spark equity rotation to hard assets
• China silver imports +78% as Hormuz shocks supply

#Commodities #Silver #Geopolitics
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🌾 The ag bull story is starting to crack.

Funds sold aggressively during the latest COT week ... and dumped even more agriculture futures through Friday's close.

The pillars of the rally are weakening:

🐉 Fading China trade optimism
🚜 Faster U.S. planting
💵 U.S. dollar now trending higher
📉 Bullish momentum fading

Profit-taking ... or the start of something bigger?

#agriculture #commodities #macromatters