Max Kennerly

@maxkennerly@mstdn.social
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Atlas has 2.7/3 stars on FiveThirtyEight and is a "select pollster" on NYTimes.

And they pretend Trump will win by claiming the Black vote in Pennsylvania will be 5.2% of the electorate, rather than the 11% it was in 2020 (per CNN exit polling).

I'm not an immigration law expert, but, in general, obtaining naturalization through fraud or misrepresentation can result in deportation of naturalized citizens. It's hard to see how Musk became naturalized without lying about this somewhere in the process.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/26/elon-musk-immigration-status/

Elon Musk, enemy of ‘open borders,’ launched his career working illegally

Investors in Musk’s first company worried about “our founder being deported” and gave him a deadline for obtaining a work visa.

The Washington Post
I still think Harris wins this but at some point we should discuss how two months of outreach to Republicans produced no benefit whatsoever. All it did was stop her ascent and cap her support at 49%.

LMAO if Beaver County, PA, is a "bellwether" then Harris has already won Pennsylvania and the whole election by a landslide.

Trump won it +18 in 2020, 54,759 votes Trump, 38,122 Biden. Biden won PA with a margin of +80,555 votes.

A month ago, NYT/Siena had Trump +2 nationally. I complained sample sizes were too small for several groups, and that younger voters are more than 12% of electorate in Presidential elections.

Today their sample sizes are fine and they bumped young voters to 13%, so Harris is +3.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/08/us/elections/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html

Cross-Tabs: October 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the National Likely Electorate

Results of a nationwide New York Times/Siena College poll conducted among 3,385 likely voters from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6, 2024.

The New York Times

Malcolm Gladwell thinks bank heists are contagious which would be funny but it seems uhhh he's also suggesting minorities shouldn't exceed a third of the population

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/26/business/malcolm-gladwell-revenge-of-the-tipping-point.html

Malcolm Gladwell’s New Book, ‘Revenge of The Tipping Point,’ Explores Negative Virality

As he releases “Revenge of The Tipping Point,” the best-selling journalist talks about broken windows theory, Joe Rogan and changing his mind.

The New York Times

Not sure I've seen a more damning quote about AI's prospects than this one.

The "killer app" he's talking about is Tesla's robotaxi, which is little more than a continuation of nearly ten years of Musk claiming full self-driving is just around the corner.

I love how the letter from the Chair of Tesla's board calculates Elon "created over $735 billion in value" by stopping their count at December 31, 2023.

The stock has fallen 28% since then, losing $225 billion in value.

https://www.theverge.com/2024/6/6/24173064/tesla-board-chair-warn-elon-musk-leave-pay-shareholders

Tesla CEO Elon Musk could leave if $56 billion pay package not approved, shareholders warned

Tesla board chair Robyn Denholm is warning shareholders that Elon Musk may leave the company if they don’t vote to approve his massive $56 billion pay package.

The Verge
That the lab in Wuhan proposed manipulating furin cleavage in coronaviruses sounds really convincing—too incredible to be coincidence—until you realize it merely means they studied coronaviruses. Every lab has been messing with furin cleavage since 2006.
LOL, they changed it. You're welcome, WaPo, but if you really wanted to improve your paper, you'd take the column down and never publish anything by Kathleen Parker again.