Joseph Delaney

@[email protected]
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104 Posts
Pharmacoepidemiology, HIV, substance use and epidemiology methods. he/him. Canadian. Involved co-parent of a great kid. University of Washington. Studies all things HIV. All opinions are mine.
Show threadJoseph DelaneySep 23, 2023
If "Ontario, British Columbia and Alberta all withdrew from the CPP — three provinces! — would drain the plan of 128 per cent of its assets" which makes it clear that this calculation needs to be considered as bogus, in terms of a fair division of assets
Show threadJoseph DelaneySep 23, 2023

It's also funny that there is a modeling trick in this game. The rules on what the CPP can hold changed, and if you ignore that you can get a counterfactual where the fund is silly.

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/what-happens-if-alberta-exists-cpp

Alberta wants to leave the CPP: Can they do that and what does it mean for the rest of Canada?

A new report says Alberta is entitled to up to $334 billion of CPP's assets if it does leave the national plan. Find out more

Financial Post
Show threadJoseph DelaneySep 23, 2023
This is so silly. Ontario would have to be daft to agree to this plan. Hard to imagine that this process would be anything but a disaster
Joseph DelaneySep 23, 2023

This is just nuts. A private company concludes that Alberta, which makes 16% of CPP contributions, can leave with 53% of the assets, based on what the contributions would have been worth had Alberta never participated in the plan.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/impossible-alberta-exit-half-cpp-184945151.html

Yahooist Teil der Yahoo Markenfamilie

Joseph DelaneySep 23, 2023
This post over on Twitter has me thinking about whether making post-docs expected as a part of academia was a bad decision. For a lot of people this type of salary difference would be decisive.
Joseph DelaneySep 19, 2023
Visiting DC is always interesting. It was my first big U.S. city but it has changed so much. After 25 years it looks different, now, but always reminds me of a young man trying to find his own way in the world and what a great incubator it would be for him.
Joseph DelaneySep 11, 2023
Thomas LumleySep 11, 2023
"The poster is different from a paper in that it doesn't need to stand alone as a piece of communication; you stand next to it"
Joseph DelaneyAug 27, 2023
Show threadMorten Juhl-JohansenAug 27, 2023
@UlrichJunker @Iris It would appear there is Shift In Grift - I found this piece by @davidgerard insightful:
https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/2023/06/03/crypto-collapse-get-in-loser-were-pivoting-to-ai/
To quote, 'Do AI art and ChatGPT output qualify as art? Can they be used for art? Sure, anything can be used for art. But that’s not a substantive question. The important questions are who’s getting paid, who’s getting ripped off, and who’s just running a grift.'
Crypto collapse? Get in loser, we’re pivoting to AI

The same grift by the same grifters.

Attack of the 50 Foot Blockchain
Show threadJoseph DelaneyApr 25, 2023

My own experience is here:

https://journals.lww.com/aidsonline/Fulltext/2010/09100/Associations_of_antiretroviral_drug_use_and.8.aspx

Abacavir and tenofovir are both drugs used in HAART, but usually one or the other. I found a protective association of tenofovir with subclinical CVD when probably it was the complement of an adverse Abacavir association with subclinical CVD.

Tricky area.

Associations of antiretroviral drug use and HIV-specific... : AIDS

r increased cIMT. Methods: We evaluated the relationship between HIV-related characteristics (including markers of HIV disease severity and use of antiretroviral therapy) and cIMT measurements in the internal/bulb and common carotid regions among 538 HIV-infected participants from the Study of Fat Redistribution and Metabolic Change in HIV Infection (FRAM). We used Bayesian model averaging to estimate the posterior probability of candidate HIV and non-HIV-related risk factors being true predictors of increased cIMT. Variables with a posterior probability of more than 50% were used to develop a selected regression model for each of the anatomic regions. Results: For common cIMT, the Bayesian model selection process identified age, African-American race, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure with probability more than 95%, HDL cholesterol with probability 85% and Hispanic ethnicity with probability 51%. Among the HIV-related factors included in the analysis, only tenofovir use was selected (51% probability). In the selected model, duration of tenofovir use was associated with lower common cIMT (−0.0094 mm/year of use; 95% confidence interval: −0.0177 to −0.0010). For internal cIMT, no HIV-related risk factors were above the 50% posterior probability threshold. Conclusion: We observed an inverse association between duration of tenofovir use and common carotid cIMT. Whether this association is causal or due to confounding by indication needs further investigation....

LWW
Joseph DelaneyApr 25, 2023

A fun article to think about compositional effects:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0002916523036626