Ian Ollmann

17 Followers
5 Following
185 Posts
The problem with social media is that it is antisocial.
TIL that the IKEA earthquake straps I installed 15 years ago are basically dust at this point. They have quietly decayed to become a danger to everyone in the house. No sun exposure. No heat. Just time.

I read AI execs confidently predicting “an end to disease and poverty and bring about ‘a renaissance of liberal democracy and human rights,’ and that ‘many will be literally moved to tears’”. I am reminded of the dot-com bust when people were throwing money at IPOs without a business plan.

We should be wary of execs promising amazing scientific achievements when they have no background in science or medicine to understand their own claims. How can we end disease without sacrificing our own autonomy when so much morbidity is caused by lifestyle choices? How will a AI / for-profit business bring about liberal democracy when it is not a government — is this claim sedition?

A great deal of money will be lost on this tulip before any is made. Be sure to bake in a AI crash into your investing projections. I’d rather we kept our eyes on the ball of reducing carbon.

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/10/agi-predictions/680280/

The AI Boom Has an Expiration Date

Tech executives are setting deadlines for the arrival of superintelligence. They might regret it.

The Atlantic

Alternatively, you could have a nice subsidized fossil fuel plant, then make a case with the captive regulator that the sequestration part costs too much, and get approved for atmospheric release instead. Why? Jobs, of course. Better than shutting a “perfectly good” new plant down — we should pay people to accelerate the climate change! What agency in Louisiana would balk at such a request? They certainly haven’t until now.

The time to stop this nonsense was when the lobbyists were in Washington pushing an “all of the above” approach to US energy security. Now that the money is approved, chicanery will follow. Our only hope would be an extensive chemical engineering review of the project to see if it is even likely to be possible under physical law and economic reality, and deny those applications that aren’t.

For every life that the heaviest 1% of SUVs and trucks save, there are more than a dozen lives lost in other vehicles.

https://www.economist.com/interactive/united-states/2024/08/31/americans-love-affair-with-big-cars-is-killing-them

Americans’ love affair with big cars is killing them

New analysis shows that the heaviest vehicles kill more people than they save in crashes

The Economist

This former chemist thinks that carbon sequestration will have such a high entropic energy cost that we will end up with energy costs that are double or triple what they are now for petroleum plants. Given solar and wind are both already cheaper than fossil fuels of any kind, the projects will likely die on the vine, except where there is no green alternative native like plastics manufacture. This is not rocket science. Any competent chemical engineer can work the costs out in advance, so we must presume projects moving forward are looking to make their money on Biden-subsidized construction then quietly fail a few years later as “expected profits” fail to materialize (as expected).

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2024/09/louisiana-climate-carbon-capture-lng/679664/

America’s New Climate Delusion

The U.S. could sink billions into curbing emissions without altering the fate of the places climate change affects most.

The Atlantic

@daringfireball I feel the same way about the massive Democrat spam machine and responded the same way. I no longer donate to any Democrat causes except for progressive ones. AOC got $20 from me. As for the rest, they can have my vote but I’m not paying for center or right wing candidates anymore.

https://daringfireball.net

Daring Fireball, by John Gruber

Commentary on Apple, technology, design, politics, and more.

Daring Fireball

When elected President, in my first 60 days, I will begin the permanent phase out on sales of new internal combustion vehicles, replace "employer paid" healthcare with a single payer model, triple the minimum wage, and ban the use of airline overhead luggage bins. They were never a good idea. It's time for the madness to stop!

Who is with me?

Plugin-hybrids don't really help fuel economy that much. They mostly just make the car heavier.

https://www.globalfueleconomy.org/media/792523/gfei-trends-in-the-global-vehicle-fleet-2023-spreads.pdf

I continue to be disappointed in Apple secrecy. I probably would have been a natural fit for this, almost unique, but never knew about it. My dad suffers from diabetes.

https://stocks.apple.com/Ao5gtTz8XSBGkwE_gnHXxQg

Apple Has Plans to Eventually, Maybe Revolutionize Health Care — Bloomberg

The company is working on big things, but employees disagree over whether they should be serving people who are healthy or sick.

11:20 pm — what is that light? This always on display feature is an unfeature. Why is this on during sleep activity? Disable.