Mastodawn

Map by precinct of Tuesday's #TN07 Special Election where Matt Van Epps (R) won by an 8.8pt margin. Van Epps' rural and suburban votes held strong while State Rep. Aftyn Behn (D) closed some of the gap with an overperformance in Nashville's core.

Also a map comparing the 2024 Presidential numbers with this race in #TN07. Behn outperformed Harris by 20-30 pts in much of Nashville and a 42pt swing in one box downtown.

Don Johnson Nov 5

Voters in Knoxville rejected a .5% sales tax increase by a 23-point margin yesterday. The measure, which would have earmarked funds for parks and infrastructure, was supported downtown and in a couple of affluent precincts to the west but failed badly elsewhere. Precinct map:

Don Johnson Oct 27

With precinct data official for #TN07 10/7 special primaries, here is the whole district. GOP runner-up Rep. Barrett strongest in west Hickman Co. in heart of his state house district. Bulso won 2 boxes around Erin, far from his WillCo base but in hometown of endorser Rep. Reedy.

On the Dem side, though a few votes can earn a precinct win in the rural parts of the district, it would be interesting to know why Rep. Mitchell did so well along I-40 while Copeland carried the far north and south.

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Don Johnson Oct 20

And now the more fragmented Dem contest: Rep. Dixie carried majority-African American precincts in Nashville and Clarksville, Rep. Behn drew support from urban white voters, and Reps. Mitchell and Copeland split the limited rural Democratic vote. #TN07

Don Johnson Oct 20

Precinct-level result map from the 10/7 special primaries in TN's 7th Congressional Dist. (just unofficial #'s from 6 largest counties so far) Starting with the GOP contest where Matt Van Epps exceeded 70% in parts of Montgomery Co. #TN07

Don Johnson Oct 6

Tomorrow is Election Day in #TN07. Here’s a map of the early & absentee vote share by county, showing how much each county contributed to each primary & party share by county. Dems usually overperform in early/abs votes so expect the GOP share to increase with tomorrow's totals.

Don Johnson Apr 29, 2025

Vote change in Ontario vs. 2021 - both major parties gained votes at the expense of left (NDP/Green) and right (PPC) alternatives. Mostly the same story across Canada tonight.

Don Johnson Apr 29, 2025

CBC projects Liberal PM Mark Carney will retain government - whether it is a majority or minority is still a question. Regardless of how one feels about this result, the last couple of months in Canadian politics have made for a wild political story.

Don Johnson Apr 29, 2025

Canada election update: Conservatives seem to be beating expectations so far tonight, at least in Atlantic Canada where Liberals need to dominate. Only Atlantic has votes in so far so there is a long, long way to go.

Don Johnson Dec 15, 2024

Belatedly posting estimates of TN’s Presidential results by State House, State Senate, and US House districts. Precinct splits complicate calculations, but Rep. Gillespie (R) won a Harris-voting district, and Rep. Glynn (D)’s district (may have) narrowly supported Trump.