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Ukrainian drones struck Primorsk — Russia's largest Baltic oil export terminal. 1M+ bpd. Four tanks ablaze. Loading stopped.
Trump postponed power plant strikes. Iran denied all talks. Israel struck Tehran the same day.
Five institutional deadlines converge on one week — with Congress in recess.
Full assessment:
https://brief.gizmet.dev/issue-014/
GIZINT Daily Brief — Issue 013 is live.
We assess the 48-hour Hormuz ultimatum — deadline ~23:44 UTC 23 March — creates a binary fork in which neither path de-escalates: compliance is inconsistent with every statement from Tehran, and infrastructure strikes would trigger full Hormuz closure, retaliatory Gulf energy attacks, and
Full brief (members): https://brief.gizmet.dev/issue-013/
GIZINT Daily Brief — Issue 012 is live.
We assess the Iran campaign's most consequential development is not the air war but the toll corridor — 90 vessels in 15 days, yuan payment, a G7 ally participating, and Iranian parliament legislating
Full brief (members): https://brief.gizmet.dev/issue-012/
The IRGC Just Put a Toll Booth on 21% of Global Oil
Nine vessels have paid two million dollars each to transit the Strait of Hormuz under IRGC escort. Five nations are negotiating access. The blockade just became a
GIZINT Daily Brief — Issue 009 is live.
Israel struck South Pars on 18 March; hours later, Iran struck Ras Laffan causing "extensive damage" (QatarEnergy) — both sides of the world's largest gas field are now
Full brief (members): https://brief.gizmet.dev/issue-009/
