Mike Dee

@MikeDeeeeeee
74 Followers
89 Following
28 Posts
Here to exchange ideas, mostly on SARS-CoV-2, electric cars and current politics (e.g. Ukraine). Profile picture by Like_the_Grand_Canyon (CC BY-NC 2.0).
Twitter-Profilhttps://twitter.com/MikeDeeeeeee
Show threadMike DeeJan 7, 2023
@writingwoman Oh ja, mein Pet Peeve.
Show threadMike DeeJan 7, 2023
@kachelmann Stimme zu, wenn man vielleicht von lokalen Winden an Orten wie Mont Saint Michel absieht, die bei Springtide leicht anders sein könnten als bei Nipptide. Wobei der Effekt dann bei Vollmond und Neumond identisch wäre.
Show threadMike DeeJan 5, 2023
@MBergmann Hatte keine Ahnung, dass Japan so viel Photovoltaik installiert hat.
Show threadMike DeeJan 5, 2023
@marcelsalathe Interesting. I found it quite intuitive after I read the following explanation: the chance that the car is behind the door you picked is 1/3, the probability that it is behind one of the other doors is 2/3. When Monty opens one of the other doors randomly, the 2/3 probability is still true for the two non-picked doors, but as Monty opened the one with the goat, the full 2/3 probability acrues to the non-picked closed door.
Show threadMike DeeJan 5, 2023
@VeronikaGrimm Nice interview! Unfortunately, the biggest electrolyser is only 10 MW, not 10 GW. We will probably need 30-40 GW ultimately.
Show threadMike DeeJan 4, 2023
@marcelsalathe I ran a few tests and it worked in all cases with very low scores for the ChatGPT answers (even when asked to maximise perplexity, use complex sentences or use the style of Franz Kafka) and very high scores for the human sentences. I don't really understand the perplexity concept fully as some human sentences seemed quite ordinary and yet got a high score.
Show threadMike DeeDec 27, 2022
@ViolaPriesemann Schwierig. Wir haben momentan keinen Zustand wie bei anderen Atemwegsviren, wo es meist nur eine Welle alle ein bis zwei Jahre gibt und dazwischen nur wenige Infektionen. Auch ist die Dynamik bei den Varianten noch erheblich. Beides gilt auch weltweit. Daher sehe ich momentan noch klar eine anhaltende Pandemie. Es ist möglich, dass es in einem halben Jahr nicht mehr so ist. Aber so lange würde ich noch abwarten, bevor ich das Ende der Pandemie deklariere.
Show threadMike DeeDec 21, 2022
@afelia @tazgetroete Vertrauen ist gut, Kontrolle ist besser - gilt insbesondere für die Selbstsicherheit, mit der ChatGPT falsche Informationen vorträgt, welche jeden gestandenen Unternehmensberater erblassen lässt.
Mike DeeDec 20, 2022
Kai KupferschmidtDec 20, 2022

“Drexler agrees that posting a preprint would have avoided the publication and retraction of the paper. It didn’t seem necessary to rush the information out because it didn’t answer urgent public health questions, but “I do regret that in retrospect,” he says”

https://www.science.org/content/article/we-made-mistake-omicron-origin-study-retracted-after-widespread-criticism

‘We made a mistake.’ Omicron origin study retracted after widespread criticism

Contamination led to conclusion that SARS-CoV-2 variant evolved slowly in Africa, authors say

Show threadMike DeeDec 20, 2022
@kakape This is (as always from you) fair reporting, but I would be a bit harsher. Not because it turned out to be an error. But because a scenario that was all but ruled out already was presented with too much certainty, and even included a critique of policies on travel bans that had no place in such a paper. That it now turned out that the critics that immediately raised red flags were right just makes it worse; it feels like the study was done to confirm the prior and obstacles were ignored.