How I see a 2024 #Biden - #Trump matchup right now. I'm assuming a low-growth, 3.5-4% unemployment, low-inflation, moderate-gas-price #economy for next year.

My confidence comes from 1) Biden already beat Trump 2) Trump's gotten even more crazy since 3) Dems did OK in '22 despite raging inflation and 4) Court decisions increasing Dem enthusiasm.

Edit - did not realize there was a "tilt" category, adding AZ and GA to tilt Dem

#politics #2024election #BidenHarris