Andy BaioApr 7, 2017

Prediction: Mastodon will likely outlast Twitter.

Historically, decentralized, open-source platforms and protocols with any adoption run forever, even if they rarely reach the popularity or cultural relevance of centralized platforms.

It seems likely to me that when Twitter eventually shuts down, people will still be running Mastodon instances.

Did you know Diaspora has 328 active nodes and 17k users? Hell, there are 3,652 active FidoNet nodes, and that started in 1984!

So... am I wrong?

Show threadDanny O'BApr 7, 2017
@andybaio yeah, I remember writing about Bitcoin for the first time, and realising that I was hitting the same failure of my own imagination -- I could not imagine them succeeding with the ambition levels of some people involved, but at the same time I couldn't actually define what "failure" would look like, because I couldn't imagine absolute extinction
Show thread🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️KODO🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️
@mala I think the only reason bitcoin sprung back in price is because it's impossible to kill and people were starting to realize that
Apr 7, 2017 at 11:08pmWeb
Show threadDanny O'BApr 7, 2017
@kodo well, never say *impossible* but certainly quite hard to imagine/improbable. Again, that doesn't mean that the end isn't just 11000 hardcore bitcoin fans having their annual conference in Boise, Idaho. But it's not /absolute disappearence/. Plus things sometimes kick off again (*cough* identi.ca *cough* GNU Social)
Show thread🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️KODO🏴‍☠️🏴‍☠️Apr 7, 2017
@mala even if that happens it's still working flawlessly. I think there is this silicon valley false idea that unless you have 'users' you haven't 'made it'