@mastodonmigration Unfortunately, presidential elections are always determined by independents in the middle, who are not inclined to vote for what they view as candidates at the far end. For example, polls showed that the entire complex of issues around sexuality and sports was an enormous turn-off for the middle, and pushed them enough toward Trump to make the difference. That's just the unfortunate reality. Middle of the road, safe candidates usually win, except in extraordinary circumstances (e.g., Biden's obvious denial of a steep mental decline). Remember, Trump won't be running again (no matter what he says).

@mastodonmigration This one has been 100%. The presidential elections history is littered with examples. You probably know them as well as I do.

@mastodonmigration I think the key aspect is that overwhelmingly the factor driving Trump's polling decline is the economy. Everything else, even health care (which of course relates) is much further down. Whoever is seen as most likely to keep the price of gasoline down is most likely to win.