1/7
πΊπ¦ Analysis from Swedish volunteer my frined Kenneth Gregg in Kyiv:
Russia launched one of the largest air attacks of the war overnight:
β’ 681 aerial targets
β’ 34 ballistic missiles
β’ 30 cruise missiles
β’ 611 drones and decoys
This was designed to overwhelm Ukraine's air defenses.
2/7
The result tells a different story.
Ukraine reports 632 targets neutralized or electronically suppressed.
All 30 cruise missiles were eliminated.
582 drones were destroyed or rendered ineffective.
Kyiv is still standing.
3/7
Kenneth Gregg noted something unusual.
The familiar sound of heavy air-defense fire over Kyiv was noticeably reduced.
Instead, Ukrainian fighter jets were already circling the city more than 30 minutes before the attack arrived.
That may matter
4/7
One possible explanation:
Ukraine is increasingly using F-16s and Mirages to intercept cruise missiles and drones far from their targets.
That allows scarce Patriot interceptors to be reserved for the most difficult threat of all: ballistic missiles.
5/7
This is how an integrated air-defense network should work:
β’ Fighters intercept what fighters can reach β’ Electronic warfare disrupts drones β’ NASAMS and IRIS-T catch what leaks through β’ Patriot focuses on ballistic missiles
Efficiency matters.
6/7
The most revealing number may be 681.
Russia needed hundreds of drones, dozens of missiles, and a huge logistical effort to achieve limited penetration.
That is not the picture of a collapsing air-defense system.
It's the picture of one adapting.