Emeritus Prof. Christopher MayJun 7

More evidence the Labour Party is heading down a cul-de-sac appealing to ReformUK Ltd voters (and sympathisers) as actually Labour is losing many more votes to the Left (and to the Green Party of England & Wales).

Of course, the notion that the Labour Party might tack left is now a damp squib, as even if they did, few would see this as a genuine attempt to reconnect with its past positions, but more a pragmatic (Starmeresque) manoeuvre to be reversed later!

#politics
https://theconversation.com/the-leftwing-vote-is-splitting-we-looked-at-who-is-moving-to-the-greens-and-what-they-care-about-284466

The leftwing vote is splitting – we looked at who is moving to the Greens and what they care about

The findings could have serious consequences for Labour.

The Conversation
Show threadBashStKidJun 7
@ChrisMayLA6 Somewhat easier to tease out some notable details for Wales:
- The 18-34 Labour vote collapsed from 44% to 7%
- The only notable increase in Reform voting was in the over-55s
- Very little movement between left and right; Labour voters went Plaid & Green, Tories went Reform. Near-zero Labour voters going to Reform.
Show threadClaire McNab

@claralistensprechen3rd Labour failed to grasp the basics of how 2024 was a loveless landslide. Lowest vote share to give a majority since before the Roman conquest. Seat share twice vote share. Fewer votes than Corbyn.

The #Starmtroopers were so high on their own supply that they couldn't see what the dogs in the street could see in the numbers. Labour had just taken an almighty kicking from voters, but the innumerate halfwit #Starmerites thought they were loved. 🙄

@BashStKid @ChrisMayLA6

Jun 8 at 12:01amWeb
Show threadbeemohJun 8
@2legged @claralistensprechen3rd @BashStKid @ChrisMayLA6 Been saying this since the election- they won by accident at best, because the Conservatives collapsed, not because Labour did anything smart.
Show threadSimon BrookeJun 8

@2legged @claralistensprechen3rd @BashStKid @ChrisMayLA6

As with so many other things, I wrote about this at the time.

https://www.journeyman.cc/blog/posts-output/2024-07-06-The-election-and-after/

The election, and after

The first thing to say about the 2024 General Election result is this: Labour lost, and lost badly. They lost, in fact, half a million votes compared to their 2019 result; they lost three million votes when compared to their 2017 result. They also failed to win anything remotely resembling a majority of the popular vote.

The Fool on the Hill
Show threadClaire McNab6d ago

@simon_brooke And you wrote well about it!

Your tables are stark reminders of the staggering dysfunctionality of the British electoral system. Only the corruption of media prevents it being a constant, live scandal.

And even your tables omit another great injustice: the Boundary Commission's allocation of seats by registered electors rather than by census data. Urban populations are less likely to registeer, so this under-represents the cities.

@claralistensprechen3rd @BashStKid @ChrisMayLA6