RE: https://mastodon.social/@nixCraft/116680653273523415

Good news. After massive public backlash from both retail & pension funds, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that it will keep its existing eligibility requirements for benchmarks including the S&P 500, closing the door to fast entry for big tech IPOs like SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI and delaying billions of dollars in flows from passive funds. This is will save retail investors retirement savings going to scam companies. SpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&P https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-other-mega-ipos-denied-223529619.html

@nixCraft Honestly, I don't understand how this works at all. Would someone please kindly explain it to me like I'm about 10? 😵‍💫

@thejessiekirk @nixCraft lots of big money managers, like pension funds, put their money in something called "index funds", usually run by banks or investment companies. Index funds buy the best performing stocks on the stock market automatically, cause that's historically been a safe way to invest long term.

The way they find out what stocks perform best is through stock market indices. Those are lists run by companies like S&P.

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@thejessiekirk @nixCraft

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There are rules on what companies can get on such a list, especially right after going public, so that people can ensure the company is stable. Some of those rules have changed lately, and SpaceX is hoping to get on those lists while they are still valued super high.

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@thejessiekirk @nixCraft

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If they do, the index funds will buy them at a very high price, flooding them with old people's money. Musk & Co can then sell their stocks and make obscene amounts of money. If the company turns out later to be unstable, the retirement fund will lose a ton of money, and index funds will no longer be a safe way to invest long term.

@thejessiekirk @nixCraft I probably got a ton of that wrong, I'm not at all an expert. Buy that's what I understand the scam is

@thejessiekirk @nixCraft
Very basic, incomplete, probably contains misunderstandings:

The stock market is slot machines. Put money in, if you're lucky, more money comes out. A company becomes part of the stock market by doing an IPO, or "initial public offering". At that point, the company sets the price of their shares, but after that, the slot machine decides. Before the IPO, the company is owned by the founders and any investors (including VC or venture capital).

The IPO is when the founders and investors get rich, so ideally they will want the share price to be as high as possible. But the higher they set it, the more likely it is to go down, and thus fewer people will buy the shares, making it go down more.

In this case, they think the hype is so high that they can get away with selling the shares at $135, even though the price is expected to drop to $40. Any sucker who gambles on these shares is almost guaranteed to lose big time.

Then there is some shares that are stable. They barely go up or down. People don't buy them to gamble, because there is nothing to win. However, they are stable because the company they represent generates a steady income. So retirement fund managers invest in those. They are not there to gamble, they are interested in a stable income.

Unfortunately, rich people are often good friends, and certain billionaires have been able to convince the people who manages the list of stable, safe investments to add their companies to these lists before they've even reached their post-IPO level. Meaning that the retirement funds would buy into them by default at $135 before they reach the expected $40, meaning peoples 401k would lose ⅔ of whatever money gets invested in this scam.

Thankfully, people have been able to get the attention of some of the big retirement funds, and they have told the people managing the lists of stable companies that if they try to pull this scam, the retirement funds will no longer use the lists, making the lists worthless.

@thejessiekirk @nixCraft this article explains it a bit--most of the other index funds that 401ks use are still going forward with the rule change :/ https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/spacex-ipo-is-coming-to-your-401k-should-you-be-concerned-154603442.html
SpaceX IPO is coming to your 401(k). Should you be concerned?

If you're investing in a 401(k) for retirement via broad index funds, a sliver of the rocket and satellite company is likely to wind up in your account...

Yahoo Finance