https://braddelong.substack.com/p/draft-the-fermi-paradox-the-drake

Bravo @delong

"What we do not see, either in our own past or in the biosphere around us, is many independent runs at civilization in the strong sense: high‑bandwidth symbolic communication, cumulative technological culture strong enough to reshape an entire planet, large‑scale cooperation and hierarchy, and the institutional scaffolding that keeps that precarious construction from collapsing back into small‑band primate politics. That may be the real bottleneck."

DRAFT: The Fermi Paradox, The Drake Equation, & the Likely Future of Human "Civilization"

How long do civilizations last? The Drake Equation, Bel‑Air mansions for everyone, & the Great Filter; or, where is everybody when $160 million a year incomes are normal? (Behind the paywall, at...

DeLong's Grasping Reality: Economy in the 2000s & Before