Tara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 CANADA HIGH [no change] About 1 of every 188 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 8.0 x higher -Long COVID: 6.0 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.5 x higher -Deaths: 3.9 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
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Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Prévisions régionales sur la COVID-19 se trouvent ici : bsky.app/profile/mori...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/post/3mlmm2eihx22o
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR HIGH [no change] About 1 of every 87 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 7.5 x higher -Long COVID: 5.9 x higher -Hospitalizations: 10.2 x higher -Deaths: 8.3 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND MODERATE [decreasing] About 1 of every 290 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 6.9 x higher -Long COVID: 5.1 x higher -Hospitalizations: 3.7 x higher -Deaths: 2.4 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 NOVA SCOTIA MODERATE [decreasing] About 1 of every 302 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 7.0 x higher -Long COVID: 6.2 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.0 x higher -Deaths: 2.3 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 NEW BRUNSWICK MODERATE [decreasing] About 1 of every 289 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 8.4 x higher -Long COVID: 6.4 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.3 x higher -Deaths: 2.4 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 QUÉBEC MODERATE [no change] About 1 of every 197 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 5.3 x higher -Long COVID: 6.2 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.2 x higher -Deaths: 2.6 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 ONTARIO MODERATE [no change] About 1 of every 257 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 8.6 x higher -Long COVID: 5.7 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.0 x higher -Deaths: 2.4 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 MANITOBA HIGH [no change] About 1 of every 302 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 9.1 x higher -Long COVID: 6.2 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.2 x higher -Deaths: 2.3 x higher
Show threadTara Moriarty
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 SASKATCHEWAN HIGH [decreasing] About 1 of every 367 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 9.5 x higher -Long COVID: 7.2 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.5 x higher -Deaths: 2.3 x higher
May 12 at 1:31amWeb
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 ALBERTA VERY HIGH [increasing] About 1 of every 130 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 12.5 x higher -Long COVID: 6.3 x higher -Hospitalizations: 8.1 x higher -Deaths: 9.9 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 BRITISH COLUMBIA HIGH [increasing] About 1 of every 112 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 6.2 x higher -Long COVID: 5.4 x higher -Hospitalizations: 5.5 x higher -Deaths: 5.6 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 NUNAVUT, NWT, YUKON HIGH [no change] About 1 of every 577 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 8.4 x higher -Long COVID: 6.1 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.7 x higher -Deaths: 4.8 x higher
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
The national overview for the Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/post/3mlmlqa26kc2o
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
For links to resources, explanations of the forecast methods, and past forecasts, please see our pinned 🧵 here: bsky.app/profile/mori...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/post/3lhcg4t5ra22t
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Remember, the forecast reflects not only recent input data, but also numbers expected for the next 2 weeks, based on 5-week average trends. The next forecast will be posted on May 25th, 2026
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Thanks to @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] @[email protected] and @[email protected] for data input, graphics, and translation.
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
Thanks to the whole COVID-19 Resources Canada team for weekly feedback and for keeping all our work going. #TogetherWeCan
Show threadTara MoriartyMay 12
skyview.social?url=https%3A...

A BlueSky thread by Tara Moria...
A BlueSky thread by Tara Moriarty on Skyview

Canadian COVID Forecast May 9 - May 22, 2026 CANADA HIGH [no change] About 1 of every 188 people is infected. Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections: 8.0 x higher -Long COVID: 6.0 x higher -Hospitalizations: 4.5 x higher -Deaths: 3.9 x higher