i am no pretending i know the answer to this, but in collapseology we always have been trying to crystal-ball-gaze which "gets us" first:
1) #climatechange
2) #peakoil and #resource depletion
3) #complexity (which would be, at the end of the day, mainly an #energy issue)
anyway, now that it is happening sort of all at once... which was somewhat foreseeable, if we are perfectly honest,
a more realistic prediction:
1) #energy & #resource constraints lead to slower #growth
2) weakening the ability to maintain #complexsystems
3) #climate shocks hit the #system with less buffer
#complexity #limits are the mechanism, at least for industrial output, not so much for #finance
#resources, mainly #energy is the limiting factor
#climatechange is the accelerator
now here is the Q: is #resilience and #adaption in- or decreasing
bc if it is not - in my book that indicates critical slowdown.
if you even can or should think about these things in such concepts as #collapse as changes in the pattern of recovery.
Provided by @altbot, generated privately and locally using Gemma4:26b
@kali A line graph titled "State of the World plot - BAU & Recalibration23" displays five different metrics over time from 1900 to 2100. The x-axis is labeled "time [years]". Five vertical axes on the left side represent "Non Renewable Natural Resources" in red, "Persistent Pollution" in blue, "Population" in green, "Food Production" in orange, and "Industrial Output" Output" in brown. The graph uses solid lines to represent the "Recalibration23" scenario and dotted lines to represent the "BAU" scenario, as indicated in the top right legend. The colored lines for each metric illustrate various trends of increasing, peaking, and decreasing over the timeframe for both scenarios.
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kali
Altbot