So let me get this right:
The Iranians mine much of the Strait of Hormuz, and then allow certain ships through (friendly and/or willing to pay);
The Tangerine Tyrant claims this is 'closing' the Strait (it isn't);
Pakistan mediated 'peace talks' fail because JD Vance refuses to budge - not negotiation, just demands for surrender;
Now, the US says it will close the Strait - the very thing it accused Iran of doing?
Thereby deepening the crisis the attacks on Iran caused.
@ChrisMayLA6
> Now, the US says it will close the Strait
As negotiations in Islamabad about sharing the toll failed Trump is trying to set his own toll booth now ;))
@huxley @ChrisMayLA6
> but he can close it
In fact he can not. He likely can seize a European vessel, but he can not do the same with Chinese one. This would be universally recognized casus belli. Europe is not ready to face US-Russian military alliance, yet, though China might have no choice but stop the US from receiving TSMC products from Taiwan. What next? I dunno :)
Though the Armageddon scenario is not likely to be seen:
Unlike the West, China is well prepared to make the retaliation nuclear strike and likely has advanced MDS (anti-missile defense) deployed all over their territory. So far the US' MDSes are guarding mostly military installations and, recently, Trump's properties. Then while US regime is not prepared to lose a city, China can withstand losing a half of population. The US Army brass is well aware of that asymmetry.
Update: in his post orange weirdo confines the seizure to vessels that paid the toll to the Iran. As if the toll were to be paid to Ayatollahs in suitcases full of dollars.
@ChrisMayLA6 Ok, so: Trump uses most of the US navy to create a rotating blockade and the necessary escorts for approved through traffic inwards and outwards.
Next day, China pops its navy into the Taiwan Strait, blockades inbound food, outbound chips. Uses this as a precedent for future naval placement within the Strait.
Good job, Donald.
Who knew that ‘Strait’ was going to be the annoying word of the year?
Trump puts most of his navy in close reach of Iranian drones and missiles, not having leaned from Russians experience.....
expensive use of multibillion carriers....
1. 3900 ships pass thru Hormuz or 130 per day or about 1000 per week.
2. The 5th Fleet has between 15 and 35 ships at any one time.
3. It takes between 2 - 3 hours to transit under normal conditions.
4. How are 35 US Navy ships, including fuel, supply, and personnel transport ships, supposed to accompany and defend slow moving tankers filled with flammable liquid in a narrow passage filled with mines, drones, and missiles?
5. Are US Navy ships entering Hormuz?
6. What if any ship refuses US escort? Because it identifies them as a willing stooge of the US.
I am surprised M Vance took the time away from campaigning for M Orban to pretend to negotiate with Iran.
Emeritus Prof Christopher May
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