i would say the hype is about 12-18mo ahead of the tech; opus 4.6 is about as good as people said this stuff was a year ago
ie what ppl said was an urgent reality one year ago has actually finally arrived
can you one shot vibe code production saas apps? no.
claude writes worse code than i do, isn’t very good at debugging, and it produces mid architecture. at least for now.
but in the hands of a skilled practitioner working patiently i feel like we’ve reached a stage where you can deliver much more ambitious projects than were possible before
because this is the fediverse, an ethics disclosure:
- AI has been very harmful to the open web’s infrastructure
- it’s plain to see that AI has hurt a lot of people’s cognitive and emotional skills
- the dumbest and most evil people alive misuse it constantly
- i don’t really believe in copyright tbh my ideal compromise is we make every academic paper free for everyone not just big tech companies
- so far AI’s externalities outweigh the positives
- the environmental costs are real but overstated; imho can be reduced to “capitalism is bad for the environment and rich people need to be stopped”