i thing i’m struggling with is AI has crossed a threshold where it’s actually useful for work, gasp, but the discourse has been so poisoned by over-hype and fascism it’s hard to talk about

i would say the hype is about 12-18mo ahead of the tech; opus 4.6 is about as good as people said this stuff was a year ago

ie what ppl said was an urgent reality one year ago has actually finally arrived

can you one shot vibe code production saas apps? no.

claude writes worse code than i do, isn’t very good at debugging, and it produces mid architecture. at least for now.

but in the hands of a skilled practitioner working patiently i feel like we’ve reached a stage where you can deliver much more ambitious projects than were possible before

because this is the fediverse, an ethics disclosure:

- AI has been very harmful to the open web’s infrastructure
- it’s plain to see that AI has hurt a lot of people’s cognitive and emotional skills
- the dumbest and most evil people alive misuse it constantly
- i don’t really believe in copyright tbh my ideal compromise is we make every academic paper free for everyone not just big tech companies
- so far AI’s externalities outweigh the positives
- the environmental costs are real but overstated; imho can be reduced to “capitalism is bad for the environment and rich people need to be stopped”

(also people really ought to disclose when they use it. nothing makes my blood boil like being asked to review slop they haven’t read, or realizing a blog author’s become prolific because they’re cutting a lot of corners. just disclose!)
@phillmv in work scenarios I see disclosure that amounts to plausible deniability. Essentially, “if there’s something embarrassingly wrong about this, blame the AI. If it’s helpful, I want the credit.”
@phillmv another thing making it hard to talk about imo is that anyone who's successfully boycotted it for those past 12-18 months now has an extremely out-of-date perspective on its capabilities. so it adds up to three different alternate realities talking past each other quite a lot. like i still see people opposing it on the basis that it "doesn't work" when from where i'm sitting we have a _far_ worse problem that all the other problems still apply but that one less and less so
@henry it’s still overhyped constantly. it’s a big struggle. hard to communicate that it’s still sloppy but useful