"The Trump administration will likely extend its waiver of sanctions on Russian oil this week, former Treasury and State Department officials said — teeing up a similar move on Iranian oil." https://www.semafor.com/article/04/08/2026/trump-administration-expected-to-keep-waiving-sanctions-on-russian-oil-as-iran-call-looms
Trump administration expected to keep waiving Russian oil sanctions as Iran call looms

Doing so would reinforce a second-term shift in how economic pressure gets applied.