"April is often too soon to gain a confident sense of whether El Niño, La Niña, or neutral conditions will be in place for the next northern fall and winter.

This year, though, the tropical Pacific seems intent on punching right through the notorious “spring predictability barrier” of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, or ENSO."

Yale Climate Connections

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/a-powerhouse-el-nino-event-appears-to-be-brewing-for-2026-27/

A powerhouse El Niño event appears to be brewing for 2026-27

Triplet tropical cyclones astride the equator could help it develop.

Yale Climate Connections