@Lana well someone lost a lot of money because they didn't invade Iran by the 31st. The next biggest bet was that they invade Iran by the end of this month. And well they've invaded Iran to "search for a downed pilot" by now, so...

(Also the bet for the 31st got disputed twice and there is no final "decision" yet)

And then there is another bet that the Iranian regime will cease to exist by (mainly) external forces. (Hard to shorten, there are a bunch of conditions stated in the bet).

So...