Someone front-ran a $500M oil futures bet before POTUS delayed Iran strikes.
CFTC is "watching."
That gap between watching and prosecuting is where the real trade lives.
https://journalrecord.com/2026/04/01/cftc-enforcement-director-insider-trading-energy-market-manipulation/
Insider trading in prediction markets is among CFTC priorities, top cop says

The CFTC enforcement director David Miller emphasizes policing insider trading in prediction markets and manipulation in energy markets affecting U.S. consumers.

The Journal Record

@geeknik

I like how the hundred million dollar bets are always the anonymous "someone" where as when I set up a trading account, I have to #KYC submit 3D photos of my sphincter