1. GenAI is probably going to impact us but how? Nobody knows.
2. The worst thing about GenAI isn't the technology, it's the shitty people: https://karlbode.com/the-problem-with-ai-is-shitty-human-beings [<must-read]
3. We can’t have a grown-up conversation on the subject because the trillion-dollar bet’s fear+greed pressure crowds out truth.
4. When the bubble pops, the shitty people will melt away. Then we can maybe figure it out.
5. We so *SO* need that bubble to pop. Next week would be ideal.

#GenAI

The Problem With AI Is Shitty Human Beings

The problem with AI isn't going to be Skynet. It's going to be amoral extraction class assholes applying half-cooked automation at scale onto deeply broken sectors in exploitative ways in a country too corrupt to have functioning regulators.

The Fine Print*

@timbray

5. ... Last year would be best.

@timbray the UBI seems like the answer but curiously off the map of late

@buckfiftyseven @timbray UBI as a "solution" for creeping GenAI would be a sticking plaster. A poor compensation. Like someone hacking off a limb and then saying "but I've paid your rent!".

Great. I don't have to worry about rent. But you've still affected my life for the worse and I can't do all the things that I used to enjoy, just because of your actions!

UBI would still leave the environmental impact, the social impact, the creative impact and the exploitative arseholes. It's just that people wouldn't have to worry about enshittification (or terminating) of their jobs as much.

@timbray Can we do Thursday? I'm getting a tooth pulled Wednesday.

@timbray Will they melt away, though? The extraction class is like cockroaches; they’ll scurry under the fridge when the lights come on, but survive to creep back out and lay eggs everywhere as soon as the dust settles.

(And, of course, the C-level folks will keep their jobs, rotate into similar ones, or golden parachute into piles of money while thousands of people get laid off for the C-level’s mistakes and greed.)

@timbray The sooner it pops, the less damage it will do.
@timbray at this point i think unless something from outside pops it, what will eventually happen is one of the major US players will suffer a distillation attack or one of these leaks at a time when they can not reasonably recover AND continue participating in the pump with the rest of the group - once that party leaves the spending race, whichever it may end up being, it seems like the monied side of all of it will start to unravel. one external thing i think could also lead to it popping is that they arent able to actually build any of these datacenters yet nor source the power for them which drags out their plans while chinese firms distill their models for cheap and move off nvidia silicon.
@timbray we hoped for the same for the .com bubble and cryptocurrency. They just found a new bubble
@timbray AI as an extension and amplification of surveillance capitalism will not go away until people, en mass, decide that thinking for themselves and learning to use technology proficiently instead of taking the easy "free as in beer" path. Things will have to get much worse to convince the average Joe that the latest device in an Ad is something to avoid and learning how to install an open system on ones own device is the way to go.

@timbray @Scienceisnotopinions hopefully before the oceans boil over...

That hasn't happened yet, right? They're not boiling yet are they? It seems like the kind of thing that might have made a headline on a slow news day and since been swept under the rug, cautiously optimistic

@timbray It's not wrong that part of the problem discussing AI is shitty people... but on Mastodon there's a widespread anti-AI feeling that is driven by (not entirely unreasonable) fear of what it is going to do to them and their disposable income.

That causes them to lash out, shut their minds and for some of them, act like shitty people. The "clippy bubble" popping isn't going to help them or cause them to discuss reality rather than "AI is the Devil".

@hopeless @timbray tbh, a system that is based on theft of other people's work shouldn't even be considered.

@UkeleleEric @timbray Yeah... but is the strawman version of AI that it's perfect to get permission to hate on, the reality?

For example I maintain a large FOSS project with a liberal license, it's perfectly fine with me and the LICENSE if it's used for training AI. I chose the license.

So... it's not right when I use a coding assist AI to claim snootily it's a "system... based on theft of other people's work"... but can we discuss the more complex reality? Or is it not fun like that?

@timbray
When the discussion is polarized by opposite personal interests, it all goes to hell. As always, probably the truth is in the middle, or at least it is the plainest solution.
@timbray problem is never the technology, it's always shitty people
@timbray when someone comes with a "Extra-LLM version 2+" and calls it GenAI, what will actual AI be called?
@timbray I don't see any AI bubble pop in the next years. I only see more people struggeling keeping their prosperity, while trying not to be reduced to cheap work.