☮ ♥ ♬ 🧑‍💻

“Since the start of 2026, the AMS has been fielding a growing number of inquiries from #journalists, #scientists, and the public about whether #fireball activity has increased.

The short answer is yes—but the details matter. We went to the #data to understand exactly what has changed and, just as importantly, what hasn’t.”

#science / #AmericanMeteorSociety / #meteor / #observation / 2026Q1 <https://amsmeteors.org/ams-q1-2026-fireball-analysis.html>

Q1 2026: Has Something Changed in the Near-Earth Fireball Environment? — American Meteor Society

Mar 28 at 11:58pmWeb
Show thread☮ ♥ ♬ 🧑‍💻3d ago

Key point: “At the 25+ report threshold, 2026 has produced 61 events versus a 2021–2025 average of roughly 43—up about 42%.

At 50+ reports, 2026 has 38 events versus an average of 18—more than double. And at 100+, the count of 14 is twice the average of 7.

The signal gets stronger as the threshold rises, which is the hallmark of a genuine physical change in the incoming material, not a reporting artifact.”