"One user named “Magamyman” made $553,000 from Iran bets placed on the eve of war. In one of their many bets, they wagered $32,000 early morning on Feb. 28, hours before the strikes began, and correctly predicted there would be strikes that day, when the Polymarket odds said there was only a 17% chance."
https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/07/politics/iran-war-prediction-markets-polymarket-kalshi
















