I only have a rather high level understanding of current AI models, but I don’t see any way for the current generation of LLMs to actually be intelligent or conscious.

They’re entirely stateless, once-through models: any activity in the model that could be remotely considered “thought” is completely lost the moment the model outputs a token. Then it starts over fresh for the next token with nothing but the previous inputs and outputs (the context window) to work with.

That’s why it’s so stupid to ask an LLM “what were you thinking”, because even it doesn’t know! All it’s going to do is look at what it spat out last and hallucinate a reasonable-sounding answer.

There’s no reason an LLM couldn’t be hooked up to a database, where it can save outputs and then retrieve them again to “think” further about them. In fact, any LLM that can answer questions about previous prompts/responses has to be able to do this. If you prompted an LLM to review all of it’s database entries, generate a new response based on that data, then save that output to the database and repeat at regular intervals, I could see calling that a kind of thinking. If you do the same process but with the whole model and all the DB entries, that’s in the region of what I’d call a strange loop. Is that AGI? I don’t think so, but I also don’t know how I would define AGI, or if I’d recognize it if someone built it.