The US intelligence community long ago gamed out all the risks surrounding a conflict with Iran, including the possibility Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz.
If the Trump administration and Hegseth are surprised now, it's because they've never listened to, and sidelined, the experts.
@petergleick Option 2: Trump and Hegseth actually wanted this to happen, because it's a huge benefit to their good ol' buddy in the Kremlin 🤷
@floe @petergleick it’s also a huge benefit to whomever controls the truly massive oil reserves of Venezuela.