Dare ObasanjoMar 9

A developer on Blind talks about how their coworkers now ship features in an hour that used to take days (3 or 5 story points) thanks to Claude Code.

This has created competitive pressure to ship features so quickly that they don’t even take time to understand the code and feel they are now the bottleneck in the way of the AI.

There is going to be interesting fallout across the industry as companies adjust to the reality that execution is essentially “free” (if you can afford the tokens).

Show threadj_bertolotti
@carnage4life It is going to be "fun" to see what happens when (inevitably) the big LLM companies decide they have captured enough market and can start making people pay the tokens enough to recover their (enormous) losses.
Mar 9 at 9:38amWeb
Show threadDare ObasanjoMar 9
@j_bertolotti I expect it will end up looking like automation in physical industries where some jobs like assembling a car are worth automating while flipping burgers at McDonald’s is cheaper to have a human do than a robot.
Show threadj_bertolottiMar 9

@carnage4life The jobs worth automating are the ones that are easy to specify ("put a screw here, and turn until the torque you need becomes bigger than this value") + quality control is also easy to automate.
McDonald would happily automate flipping burgers, if making a machine that can cook anything reliably wasn't so damn hard!

A lot of use cases for LLMs will stop being viable if they cost 10x what they cost today, and even more will have to reckon with how difficult it is to do quality control for them.
A few use cases will survive and thrive (if I could predict which ones I would be starting my company now and become a billionaire in 10 years), but most won't.

Show threadmarcellfan888Mar 9
@carnage4life @j_bertolotti I think it's going to be another booster for inequality. Jobs that are too complex or risky to be automatized will be left untouched, as well as jobs that already have that low wages, that automatization has hardly a ROI.
The jobs 'in the middle' that are well-paid enough to offer a ROI for automatization and are also less complex are at risk. I honestly don't know how many jobs are going to be in that range.
Show threadLukMar 9
@j_bertolotti @carnage4life This is so bleak