Kalshi has refused to payout bets that that Khamenei will be “out as Supreme Leader” because they’ve said it violates their rules around profiting from death.
Users are pissed but I’m glad they’re enforcing this rule given it literally incentivizes murder otherwise.
https://nypost.com/2026/03/05/business/kalshi-refuses-to-pay-winnings-on-54m-trade-related-to-khameneis-death-drawing-user-fury/
Kalshi refuses to pay winnings on $54M trade related to Khamenei's death, drawing user fury
Prediction market Kalshi has outraged users by refusing to pay out winnings on a $54 million trade related to the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Dare Obasanjo
George Hotelling