I've had a chance to use Opus 4.6 a bit, not just for coding tasks, but for other typical corporate management activities too, like reading and writing policies, understanding bookkeeping, etc.

And I have some scary news. Sure it makes mistakes, but for a person treating it as an extended information processing tool instead of outsourcing thinking to it, not more so than your average junior developer, outsourcing partner, big four consultant below partner level. It just delivers results much, much faster.

It's not hard to imagine a world in which racking up a €1000 AI bill per day per person driving it isn't just considered normal, but cost effective.

We'll see exponential hunger for AI compute, in a world in which chip production scales linearly at best. And the implications for energy consumption are shocking.

We'll also see the market for junior developers dry up. And no one has an idea where new senior developers who actually can meaningfully manage AI dev work will come from.

We live in interesting times, and not in the best sense of this phrase.

@ela I have a feeling that companies that have the foresight to keep hiring juniors as they always have, will have a huge advantage over companies that adopt a philosophy similar to the one in Jurassic park 1, where that one underpaid guy was maintaining the entire system and ended up stealing company secrets.

The flip side is that the AI bubble will burst and we are left with the useful bits of AI. Right now it feels like we've just discovered the barbeque and we're using it to bake cake.