Here in the U.K. the Gorton and Denton by-election has got people making all kinds of predictions, with most people saying it's a straight battle between Greens and Reform.

I'll just leave this here by Professor Rob Ford from the University of Manchester. He's saying it's actually a 4 party battle with none of the parties having a clear route through to victory.

He's not making any predictions.

#UKPolitics

The Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?
https://swingometer.substack.com/p/the-gorton-and-denton-by-election?utm_campaign=post&showWelcomeOnShare=true

The Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?

Unpopular incumbent + fragmented opposition + unusual seat = unpredictable contest

The Swingometer

I can see it now. While all the candidates in the Gorton and Denton by election will be busy having a titanic ideological battle for the soul of the nation, the actual winner will be whoever promises to fix all those potholes on Hyde Road.

#UKPolitics
#Manchester

Here in the U.K. I know exactly who will win the Gorton and Denton by election.

It's whichever of the three parties on the left that stops using the threat of a Reform win as a stick to beat people into voting for them and actually starts campaigning.

The people of Gorton and Denton are many things, but stupid is not one of them.

#UKPolitics
#Manchester

In Manchester, Labour have selected Whalley Range councillor Angeliki Stagios as candidate for the Gorton and Denton by election.

Apart from anything else, it would be so much fun watching Reform's Matt Goodwin losing to a Greek immigrant.

#UKPolitics

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyn5zj8750o

Gorton and Denton by-election: Angeliki Stogia selected for Labour

The councillor was chosen after Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham was blocked from standing.

BBC News

In the Gorton and Denton by-election here in the U.K., the Workers Party have just announced they are not standing a candidate.

This is really bad news for Reform. Without a third party splitting the progressive vote, their chances of winning just went from slim to remote. Really.

#UKPolitics

The real truth of it is that, in the Gorton and Denton by-election here in the U.K., Reform have a vanishingly slim chance of winning. Any way you slice it, they just don't have the numbers.

The real battle is between Greens and Labour.

The other battle is to get Greens and Labour to admit that instead of wasting everyone's time with scary stories about Reform.

Gorton and Denton deserves better.

#UKPolitics

@ProjectFearlessness they should shut up about Reform because repeated mentions raises their profile, normalises them and increases their vote
@peterbrown
It's exactly this. It's also patronising. Voters need to know what they're voting FOR, they already know what they're voting AGAINST.