Sean CastenJan 13
In a country that really needs new power generation to come on line, Trump’s policies are the exact opposite of what the federal government should be doing. A little bit of context: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Federal-Judge-Clears-Orsted-to-Resume-Work-on-Revolution-Wind.html
Federal Judge Clears Orsted to Resume Work on Revolution Wind

A federal judge in Washington has ruled that rsted may resume construction on its nearly completed Revolution Wind offshore project, dealing a blow to the U.S. administration's national-security-based suspension of offshore wind developments.

OilPrice.com
ClwhittJan 13
Show threadSean Casten
1. Before coming to Congress, I ran various companies that built 80+ separate power plants. At one point when we were raising a new round of financing I was asked how long it took from project identification to financial close.
Jan 13 at 1:01pmMastodon for iOS
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
2. I did the math and then joked (but honestly) that the fastest I could remember took a year, the slowest was 5 years “but I’ve got a bunch of projects in the pipeline that, when they close, will break that 5 year record”
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
3. That’s the reality of project development. You’ve got to get offtakers and engineers and financiers and regulators all on board with the project scope, contracts, etc. It’s a fun gig, but it takes a lot of time. And that’s just to get to financial close!
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
4. Because then you still have to do the final engineering, procure the final permits, procure equipment, mobilize construction crews, build and commission. That’s another 1 - 2 years.
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
5. So now put yourself in the shoes of everyone who might build a power plant in the US today. They have that same calendar. Today, there is an insane man setting arbitrary rules about building assets in the US. But he’ll be out of power before your project is fully operational.
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
6. Meanwhile, your competitors and investors keep seeing projects like the Revolution Wind go on again/off again. Their capital is tied up & they don’t know when they’ll start generating revenue to pay it down. What would you do?
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
7. The logical answer, for a lot of players has to be “let’s not invest in the US for a while.” Find other markets. Hope stability returns to US regulation, but don’t make big capital bets on that future.
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
8. Spread that across the whole economy and you understand why GDP is slowing down and why Trump has never built a business with lasting value. Big investments require stability that he is mentally incapable of providing.
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
9. I’ve said it before, but if Trump was expressly trying to make our economic adversaries stronger and was committed to carrying out their foreign policy to weaken the United States, he would do exactly what he’s doing now.
Show threadSean CastenJan 13
10. Anyway - I’m glad the courts brought this wind project back on line. And when we win the House back there will finally be legislative accountability. But every Republican who does nothing (or worse, praises this economic buffoon) is making the economy worse. /fin
Show threadSueDiOhJan 13
@SeanCasten The GOP is okay with all of it.
Show threadDBJan 13
@SeanCasten Doesn’t weakening the US serve Putin’s interests? Seen through that lens, all of Trump’s actions accomplish Putin’s objectives.
Show threadKrazyKatJan 13
@SeanCasten Ah! You noticed!
Show threadDeterioratedStuccoJan 13
@SeanCasten
Sometimes it's impossible to tell the difference between incompetence and malice, and often it's a waste of effort to try.
Show threadStevenSavage (he/him)Jan 13
@SeanCasten thats a great summary.
Show threadferricoxideJan 13
@SeanCasten

I used to work as a third-party IT consultant for several vendors. One of the vendors had a fairly complicated product that I was one of the few true experts for in North America. As such, I kept fairly busy with doing delivery-consulting for that product.

One day, the partner-manager for the consultancy I was working for asked me "how long to do a delivery of <PRODUCT>?" I responded back, "that greatly depends on the answer to 'who/what kind of organization is the customer'." She was confused until I responded back with a list of customer-types and typical delivery-times for those customers. She was especially flabberghasted that what I quoted as "3 days" for one type of customer, I quoted as "at least six months" for the slowest customer-type (federal customer-type that had tons of regulatory-hoops to jump through and slow approval processes for each of those hoops).