“Oracle is already underwater on its ‘astonishing’ $300bn OpenAI deal”

Of course it is. *Nobody* is making money on AI.

(Except Nvidia.)

(For now.)

https://www.ft.com/content/064bbca0-1cb2-45ab-85f4-25fdfc318d89

Oracle’s astonishing $300bn OpenAI deal is now valued at minus $74bn

And suddenly, there may be a reverse Midas at the centre of AI’s circular economy

Financial Times

@maxleibman This graph is fascinating. Oracle's profit will be entirely eaten by buildout costs if OpenAI's revenue share does not go up by 2027.

If this AI stuff doesn't make huge profits within a year or so, it will literally destroy Oracle.

@tsturm Yeah.

I hate to spoil the ending, but there’s no way they pull it off.

@maxleibman OpenAI's revenue share would have to double 2026-27 and again 2027-28 to make this make any sense.

That's fucking ridiculous.

@maxleibman @tsturm
And it couldn’t happen to a more deserving oligarch vajunt.
@kelvind.com

#AI & the #Cloud are NOT like a vagina. Good to be in it, but it's not better to be ALL IN it. It's worse if you're all in. #Oracle has a problem in this regard, because it's thinking with its dick - #LarryEllison - & this is yet another situation where being an enormous dick isn't an advantage.

Bluesky Social
@tsturm @maxleibman Oh noes, my poor Oracle Cloud "Always Free" VServer! /o\
@tsturm @maxleibman
So there is something good about AI after all.
@tsturm @maxleibman man, I wish this would kill Oracle, but it won't. They'll just do some Enron-level creative accounting and come out the other side with more money, somehow.
@aatch @maxleibman I’d expect them to survive, but if this doesn’t go *just* right, a lot of people will lose their last shirt over this bullshit.