@wnd random question for you: any idea why the UK has a Taktfahr-style timetable in some regions but not others?

Most countries have it everywhere or nowhere. UK bit of an outlier

https://proto.propexum.com/expo/?data=2025-05-07/taktness#x=-1.4610&y=54.1849&z=6.3956

@bovine3dom @wnd In very broad terms it looks to me like it is driven by train service frequency, which is in turn related to population density. The areas with more clockface timetables tend to be urban areas - so you can see clockface timetables in much of South East England, the Cardiff area in Wales, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester and to some extent Leeds in England, and Glasgow (and to a lesser extent Edinburgh) in Scotland.

@ApAlun i see what you're saying but Germany has a very similar population distribution¹ to the UK yet has a clockface timetable almost everywhere. Similarly France has lots of towns with suburbs that look like British towns but they almost never have clockface timetables

1: https://github.com/bovine3dom/population_density

@wnd @pglux.bsky.social

GitHub - bovine3dom/population_density: population_density

population_density. Contribute to bovine3dom/population_density development by creating an account on GitHub.

GitHub

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social
as understand it, the way the GB timetabling process works is that at the start of long-term plan (LTP) development, operators bid for paths in the timetable. Under the current arrangement franchised Train Operating Companies (TOCs) are guaranteed a number of paths per, say, hour for morning and evening peak*. These are then deconflicted if possible. 1/n

* this is an approximation, and it is more complicated than this, but you get the gist

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social so what I think you see here is, where you have an operator who is running regional/metro services you will tend to have higher frequency Taktfahrstile operations.

You also have long(er) distance IC type services that operate a timetable more related to few stops but often with a less regulated Takt. For example, LNER will run services that will having different calling patterns and stops.

2/n

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social Where a train on the ECML will stop SVG, PBO, RET, or not, head to EDB, or LDS, stop at NCL, or even Harrogate almost on a whim

...as does, say EMR, Avanti, and GWR...

Then you add something the XC into the mix and it gets mess.

My guess is what you are seeing is a pattern of Takt for local services, jazzed with a mixture of mixed calling patterns for IC layered with stuff like XC

3/n

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social It might then be interesting to repeat this by operator. I *guess* you will find that GTR, XR and Southern are quite Taktstile while XC, LNER and Avanti aren't. Northern and TPE probably swing both ways.

4/n

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social here is a visualisation of aggregated train activity (departure from origin, arrival, departure, terminate at destination) count for stations in the British timetable. You might also see some places outside the UK...

I picked 10 minutes because when I did this in 5 minute slices there is a big set of activities on the hour and half hour.

I should probably re-cut this by operator to illustrate the point discussed here...

5/n

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social I will also quote less Winne the Pooh next time.

@wnd I'll try to split it by TOC today if I have that data and get a chance. But my hunch is that it is a geographic split rather than a TOC one

FWIW the map only considers headways between trains with the exact same stopping patterns because different countries have very different opinions about what a "route" is and it was the only way of making it comparable

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social you can't decouple geography and operator. But it would be interesting to see.

Based on the timetable I can look at arrival and departure times at route segments between stations by operator. I'm not sure how that would map to operations in different countries though.

@wnd i wasn't intending on decoupling geography and operator but now you're telling me that i can't do that it is all i want to do

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social please carry on. I am being confusing here. There are some operators that are very geographic specific (GTR, Southern, Great Northern, C2C), there are some that are mixed (EMR, ScotRail) and some that aren't (LNER, Avanti, XC) and some with a ridiculous range (Northern).

Apologies for being confusing. Please do this, it will be interesting.

@wnd I'll catch up with your debate this evening, for now I can contribute this which is not quite a perfect list of TOCs but it ain't bad

it doesn't feel as simple as "short distance gets takt and long distance does not"

NB: my data is a bit out of date. Island Line apparently has since decided to go back to a French-style timetable ... despite spending £1m on a passing loop so they didn't need to do that https://iwobserver.co.uk/swr-confirms-changes-to-island-line-timetable/

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social how so? The first 12 look quite London/urban to me. Although there are some further down that I would expect to be mehr Taktstile

@wnd liverpool-manchester-leeds-york is very urban, as is leeds-sheffield-nottingham-leicester. so TPE and Northern should be clockfacey by your reckoning.

Southern, Southeastern and Thameslink outside their ultra-urban core are going through swathes of empty fields and are more inter-cityish by my reckoning

population map attached :)

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social I think you have confused me for someone else. I have never said population distribution is related to Taktstile. Unless you are interested in population data from 1875.

I would argue there is a clear under provision of service in the North urban belt and Midlands*

* in fact this is one of the conclusions from a talk I gave on Thursday at #LeedsDigi25

@wnd I thought your position was that long distance services would not follow a takt and that urban ones would?

i don't know how to define an intercity service other than eyeballing a population plot

... if you gave that talk on Thursday does that mean that you caused the postponement? :)

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social IC services are long-distance, high-speed services with limited calling points and typically operating on high-speed lines. This has nothing to do with population distribution. If that were the case, we wouldn't have an ECML North of, say, Doncaster .
@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social but yes my guess is IC and cross-country are not Takt. Whereas urban services in the south are more likely to be because London.

@wnd but it does have to do with population distribution because you wouldn't have limited calling points unless there was limited population? there may be some truth in that it is based on the 1837 population but dear old Dr Beeching did update that a little

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social This is a common misconception. The 1963 Reshaping of the British Railway reform* was focused on changing the railway for freight operations rather than passenger services. At which point passenger numbers were only a secondary, or even tertiary, concern.

* also known as the Beeching reform or cuts

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social where implement was then complicated by the fact that many passenger stations were tangled up in legislation, for example stations and lines were put in place by acts of parliament, and would require repeal. It's complicated.

@wnd @bovine3dom @pglux.bsky.social The Reshaping of British Railways report actually covered both the passenger and the freight railway - I have my copy open in front of me as I write. The list of passenger services to be withdrawn was over 5 sides long, with 50 entries per side.

1/2

@wnd @bovine3dom @pglux.bsky.social Map 1 was "Density of Passenger Traffic", Map 2 was "Distribution of Passenger Traffic Station Receipts", Map 9 was "Proposed withdrawal of Passenger Train Services", Map 9A was the same for the London area, and Map 10 was "Proposed Modification of passenger train services".

2/2

British Rail Train Ticket Data Maps Show How a Nation Travels Before HS2

A new dataset allows anyone to explore almost 1 billion journeys from every one of its more than 2,500 train stations.

Bloomberg
@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social there are a number of things I do not recognise with this statement
@ApAlun @bovine3dom @pglux.bsky.social I was aware of these maps, having had a go at trying replicate them using ORR ODM data. Here are financial year 2018-19 to 2022-23.
@wnd @bovine3dom The Reshaping report claimed that if the plan was implemented with vigour much of BR's deficit would be eliminated by 1970. A significant amount of the saving came from passenger closures - £18m from discontinuing passenger stopping services and £11-13m from subsequent closures of lines. See pages 54 and 55 of the report.
@ApAlun @bovine3dom I'm not sure I follow how this links to the visualisation of current ODM passenger numbers against the 1963 report. Equally, if you have the data for 1970 network, that would be interesting to visualise.
@wnd @bovine3dom It doesn't help with comparing current and 1963 numbers at all - what it shows is that consideration of the economics of the then passenger railway was a significant part of the the Reshaping report, rather than being a secondary or tertiary consideration, and that Beeching expected the closure of passenger services to make a sizable contribution to the cost saving he was looking for. Sadly I don't have any data beyond what was published in the report.

@ApAlun While it is clear you disagree with my thoughts here and my hot-take that the primary focus of the 1963 report was on the reconfiguration of the rail network to support freight operations.

While I did read the report some time ago and could be wrong, I'm not sure I care. What do I know is that it is no longer 1963, or even 1971, and therefore see no benefit continuing this discussion. YMMV

@bovine3dom

@wnd @bovine3dom I just think it is important that we don't create new myths about the Beeching report - there are enough of those already. Oliver was quite correct that the Beeching report resulted in a large number of passenger services being withdrawn, even if not all of the proposed withdrawals were implemented.
@ApAlun @bovine3dom in your opinion. I do not see what I said is a myth.

@wnd the hottest take i see is that UK railways north of London are no longer in 1963

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Rail_Class_73

i would argue that they are stuck in 1962

@ApAlun

British Rail Class 73 - Wikipedia

@wnd @bovine3dom In reply to Oliver's view that Beeching resulted in changes to the British passenger rail network you wrote "The 1963 Reshaping of British Railway reform was focused on changing the railway for freight operations rather than passenger services. At which point passsenger numbers were only a secondary, or even tertiary, concern". It is easy to prove that Oliver was in fact correct that the report had a major impact on passenger services and that your statement was wrong.

1/4

@wnd @bovine3dom All you have to do is to go back to the report itself. Thanks to Railway Archive it is online https://www.railwaysarchive.co.uk/docsummary.php?docID=13 , as are the maps https://www.railwaysarchive.co.uk/docsummary.php?docID=35 .

2/4

The Reshaping of British Railways - Part 1: Report :: The Railways Archive

Archive of UK railways documents

@wnd @bovine3dom It is easiest to go straight to the summary on pages 57-60. It proposed 15 actions, the first 6 of which are about passenger services. Action 1 was "Discontinuance of many stopping passenger services" and Action 3 was "Closure of a high proportion of the total number of small stations to passenger traffic" - I have attached scans of the relevant pages.

3/4

@ApAlun @bovine3dom then if your intent is "to prove me wrong" then with respect, fuck off. You are blocked. Bye
@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social Since we're on population density, here is an animation the fraction of the British population who live within a given distance of each other based on the 2021 census Output Area/Data Zone location in increasing circle radii from the output-area in 50 shades of orange. The shades are scaled as a fraction of the maximum population on that map. The distances are then 500m, 1km, and then in increments of 10km up to 200km.

@wnd i see your 500m and raise you 25m

had a real "huh" moment when i realised how empty many UK town centres were

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social I'm more interested in the 40-80km view, as that makes more sense for a heavy-rail public-transport network

@wnd that's how you end up with gares des betteraves 🍷🥖

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social not if you
1. link to new town development or 2. model this in the North West/Yorkshire/Midlands area. I would suggest there is a much higher density population distribution here than, say, in much of France.
@wnd maybe. But the French manage to put TGV stations in the middle of nowhere even where there is high local population density nearby - Avignon, Calais, Montpellier spring to mind
@bovine3dom @[email protected] @pglux.bsky.social Yes, you are correct - Beeching had a major impact and resulted in the closure of many minor stations and the withdrawal of many stopping services on busier lines.
@wnd @bovine3dom @pglux.bsky.social Well, if Option A or B of the Serpell Report of 1982 had been implemented there wouldn't have been an ECML north of Newcastle.

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social FWIW here are watershed maps for the North and Midland with a population of 16.3M and London and the South East with a population of 19.3M.

This shows shortest-path walking routes from Output Area centres to railway stations in an 80km radius centred on a population centre for these two regions.

@wnd the first image should have zero trains because, um, potholes

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social that is a only a local issue in Blackburn, Lancashire

@wnd ha. do you know if your talk is available online anywhere? i am not corporate enough to understand the leeds digital festival website

@ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social

@bovine3dom @ApAlun @pglux.bsky.social hold that thought. I'm mid-edit, in fact if I wasn't on social media...